TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097045
Played Sep 8Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.78
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118611711––
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:09 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
811118611711––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 48–30 Jakub Pruszkowski Jakub Pruszkowski has won 30 of their 78 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Szostok beat Pruszkowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Szostok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-30 in 78
Szostok
Wrong
gap of 18 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1517 vs Pruszkowski 1410
Szostok
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 80% vs Pruszkowski 60%
Szostok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 80% vs Pruszkowski 50%
Szostok
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok +1 · Pruszkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.78 / Pruszkowski 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Szostok)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13097045
Szostok1.78
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 329 of 514
Up 2–0, closes it94% 123 of 131
Up 1–0, closes it78% 211 of 270
Pruszkowski1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog57% won 74 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back31% 17 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok5wins
AwayPruszkowski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok66.7%2 of 3
AwayPruszkowski57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok3Pruszkowski7n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S2Szostok5Pruszkowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Szostok7Pruszkowski3n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S4Szostok1Pruszkowski7n = 8Pruszkowski took 7 of 8
S5Szostok4Pruszkowski1n = 5Szostok took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokPruszkowskiS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.739.8+0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime939 / 1584 vs 1134 / 179559.3%63.2%939 / 1584 vs 1134 / 1795Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.78/Pruszkowski 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 11:05S. Szostok—711117113J. Pruszkowski—11871172
WAug 19 · 02:35S. Szostok—8111110113J. Pruszkowski—11771232
WAug 18 · 19:20S. Szostok—1111113J. Pruszkowski—6860
LAug 13 · 11:55S. Szostok—411111272J. Pruszkowski—118514113
WAug 13 · 05:55S. Szostok—811411113J. Pruszkowski—11511662
WAug 12 · 02:10S. Szostok—118118113J. Pruszkowski—41191142
LAug 11 · 20:05S. Szostok—1189101J. Pruszkowski—81111123
LJul 22 · 01:45S. Szostok—61411111J. Pruszkowski—11167133
LJul 14 · 11:00S. Szostok—8880J. Pruszkowski—1111113
LJul 14 · 04:55S. Szostok—6411121J. Pruszkowski—11119143
S. Szostok10
LSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241WSep 8 · 13:10S. Szostok1.531051111113W. Buczynski2.3612119472LSep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.2011126113S. Szostok1.576101171WSep 8 · 11:05S. Szostok1.85711117113J. Pruszkowski1.8011871172WSep 8 · 09:30S. Szostok1.4713127113M. Baron2.3911101191WSep 8 · 08:20S. Szostok1.4611117113O. Vincenec2.40691171LSep 8 · 06:45S. Szostok2.05871161K. Slawinski1.6611118113WSep 8 · 05:30S. Szostok1.3713811113W. Buczynski2.701111691WSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113WSep 7 · 15:55S. Szostok1.509111111113W. Tobiasz2.4011981342
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.4583100J. Pruszkowski1.451111123LSep 8 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.7911911133J. Pruszkowski1.848118111LSep 8 · 11:05S. Szostok1.85711117113J. Pruszkowski1.8011871172WSep 8 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski1.5711611113W. Buczynski2.20511931WSep 8 · 08:45M. Baron2.401186111J. Pruszkowski1.5071111133LSep 8 · 07:30O. Vincenec2.3711112113J. Pruszkowski1.52991191WSep 8 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.83115116102J. Pruszkowski1.86711911123LSep 7 · 07:45K. Schaniel2.631111113J. Pruszkowski1.449860LSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581
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