TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13096888
Played Sep 8Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
2.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8113111012––––
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.45
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
8113111012––––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 12–14 Jakub Pruszkowski Oliver Vincenec has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Vincenec beat Pruszkowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-14 in 26
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1383 vs Pruszkowski 1396
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 60% vs Pruszkowski 40%
Vincenec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 60% vs Pruszkowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec +1 · Pruszkowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 2.45 / Pruszkowski 1.45
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Pruszkowski)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13096888
Vincenec2.45
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 191 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back25% 71 of 290
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Pruszkowski1.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 465 of 719
Up 2–0, closes it96% 241 of 252
Up 1–0, closes it83% 359 of 432
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec6wins
AwayPruszkowski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVincenec leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec80%4 of 5
AwayPruszkowski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec5Pruszkowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Vincenec4Pruszkowski6n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec4Pruszkowski6n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10
S4Vincenec7Pruszkowski2n = 9Vincenec took 7 of 9
S5Vincenec3Pruszkowski2n = 5Vincenec took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecPruszkowskiV − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.142.9−1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime648 / 1435 vs 1133 / 179445.2%63.2%648 / 1435 vs 1133 / 1794Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiVincenec 2.45/Pruszkowski 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 07:30O. Vincenec—11112113J. Pruszkowski—991191
LJul 29 · 02:45O. Vincenec—8990J. Pruszkowski—1111113
LJul 20 · 14:40O. Vincenec—551151J. Pruszkowski—11119113
WJul 20 · 06:05O. Vincenec—811814143J. Pruszkowski—1161112122
WJul 17 · 11:55O. Vincenec—41411123J. Pruszkowski—11128101
WJul 17 · 05:55O. Vincenec—111111113J. Pruszkowski—813871
LJun 3 · 11:55O. Vincenec—51181132J. Pruszkowski—117115113
WJun 3 · 05:55O. Vincenec—1110513113J. Pruszkowski—712111182
WMay 25 · 01:10O. Vincenec—116145113J. Pruszkowski—611121162
LMay 24 · 17:30O. Vincenec—117912102J. Pruszkowski—3111110123
O. Vincenec10
WSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113WSep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.2011126113S. Szostok1.576101171LSep 8 · 10:40O. Vincenec1.828880W. Buczynski1.881111113WSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113LSep 8 · 08:20S. Szostok1.4611117113O. Vincenec2.40691171WSep 8 · 07:30O. Vincenec2.3711112113J. Pruszkowski1.52991191LSep 8 · 06:20O. Vincenec1.861111115102M. Baron1.80991117123LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 8 · 14:45S. Szostok1.78811671J. Pruszkowski1.9111811113LSep 8 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.7911911133J. Pruszkowski1.848118111LSep 8 · 11:05S. Szostok1.85711117113J. Pruszkowski1.8011871172WSep 8 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski1.5711611113W. Buczynski2.20511931WSep 8 · 08:45M. Baron2.401186111J. Pruszkowski1.5071111133LSep 8 · 07:30O. Vincenec2.3711112113J. Pruszkowski1.52991191WSep 8 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.83115116102J. Pruszkowski1.86711911123LSep 7 · 07:45K. Schaniel2.631111113J. Pruszkowski1.449860LSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec
Sep 8 · 15:05O. Vincenec2.75K. Slawinski1.36—Sep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.69W. Buczynski1.97—Sep 9 · 03:50O. Vincenec1.80P. Kurek1.91—Sep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.91K. Schaniel1.80—Sep 9 · 06:55O. Vincenec2.00R. Gajda1.73—Sep 9 · 07:45O. Vincenec1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 9 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 10:10O. Vincenec1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 9 · 11:50O. Vincenec1.80P. Kurek1.91—
J. Pruszkowski
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