TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13096068
Played Sep 8Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
1.82
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811811––––
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.88
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:01 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeWitold Buczynski to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
811811811––––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 11–13 Witold Buczynski Oliver Vincenec has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:01What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Vincenec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-13 in 24
Buczynski
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1381 vs Buczynski 1356
Vincenec
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 40% vs Buczynski 20%
Vincenec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 50% vs Buczynski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec +1 · Buczynski -4
Buczynski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vincenec) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.82 / Buczynski 1.88
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vincenec)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13096068
Vincenec1.82
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 147 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it88% 65 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it75% 105 of 141
Buczynski1.88
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 191 of 514
Down 0–1, comes back22% 65 of 302
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec5wins
AwayBuczynski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenecn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBuczynski62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec2Buczynski8n = 10Buczynski took 8 of 10
S2Vincenec7Buczynski3n = 10Vincenec took 7 of 10
S3Vincenec5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S4Vincenec2Buczynski5n = 7Buczynski took 5 of 7
S5Vincenec3Buczynski0n = 3Vincenec took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecBuczynskiV − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.0−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime647 / 1433 vs 433 / 111845.2%38.7%647 / 1433 vs 433 / 1118Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecVincenec 1.82/Buczynski 1.88
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 13:30O. Vincenec—411681W. Buczynski—11511113
WAug 10 · 07:20O. Vincenec—1111113W. Buczynski—8660
LMay 26 · 23:10O. Vincenec—3970W. Buczynski—1111113
LMay 9 · 17:05O. Vincenec—4131141W. Buczynski—111113113
WMay 9 · 09:55O. Vincenec—611611113W. Buczynski—11511752
WMay 2 · 11:55O. Vincenec—1111113W. Buczynski—9740
LMay 2 · 05:55O. Vincenec—10101181W. Buczynski—12129113
WApr 19 · 11:30O. Vincenec—6141211113W. Buczynski—111610742
WApr 19 · 07:55O. Vincenec—9111110113W. Buczynski—11661282
LApr 18 · 17:05O. Vincenec—8168111W. Buczynski—111411133
O. Vincenec10
WSep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.2011126113S. Szostok1.576101171WSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113LSep 8 · 08:20S. Szostok1.4611117113O. Vincenec2.40691171WSep 8 · 07:30O. Vincenec2.3711112113J. Pruszkowski1.52991191LSep 8 · 06:20O. Vincenec1.861111115102M. Baron1.80991117123LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951
W. Buczynski10
WSep 8 · 11:30M. Baron1.739111631W. Buczynski2.0011918113LSep 8 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski1.5711611113W. Buczynski2.20511931LSep 8 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.2911116113W. Buczynski3.10761141LSep 8 · 07:10M. Baron1.7111131111113W. Buczynski2.0071551392LSep 8 · 05:30S. Szostok1.3713811113W. Buczynski2.701111691WSep 5 · 16:40J. Jesiek1.7611690W. Buczynski1.901311113WSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123WSep 5 · 13:10R. Piechnik1.757990W. Buczynski1.951111113WSep 5 · 11:30M. Lach1.24111091182W. Buczynski3.80512118113
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec
Sep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.50J. Pruszkowski1.46—Sep 8 · 14:20O. Vincenec1.79M. Baron1.84—Sep 8 · 15:05O. Vincenec2.75K. Slawinski1.36—Sep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.69W. Buczynski1.97—Sep 9 · 03:50O. Vincenec1.80P. Kurek1.91—Sep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.91K. Schaniel1.80—Sep 9 · 06:55O. Vincenec2.00R. Gajda1.73—Sep 9 · 07:45O. Vincenec1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 9 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—
W. Buczynski
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