TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13095039
Played Sep 8Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.46
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119711117––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:45 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
116119711117––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 12–12 Oliver Vincenec Dead even across their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (62%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-12 in 24
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1505 vs Vincenec 1373
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 80% vs Vincenec 60%
Szostok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 80% vs Vincenec 50%
Szostok
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok -1 · Vincenec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.46 / Vincenec 2.40
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Szostok)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13095039
Szostok1.46
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 329 of 514
Up 2–0, closes it94% 123 of 131
Up 1–0, closes it78% 211 of 270
Vincenec2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 191 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back25% 71 of 290
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok5wins
AwayVincenec5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok42.9%3 of 7
AwayVincenec33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok7Vincenec3n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S2Szostok2Vincenec8n = 10Vincenec took 8 of 10
S3Szostok8Vincenec2n = 10Szostok took 8 of 10
S4Szostok4Vincenec6n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S5Szostok2Vincenec3n = 5Vincenec took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokVincenecS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.239.7+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime935 / 1579 vs 646 / 143159.2%45.1%935 / 1579 vs 646 / 1431Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.46/Vincenec 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.4%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 14:45S. Szostok—911148113O. Vincenec—116121142
LAug 20 · 11:05S. Szostok—89111192O. Vincenec—111152113
WAug 6 · 12:40S. Szostok—11811113O. Vincenec—711671
LAug 6 · 06:30S. Szostok—11811772O. Vincenec—811611113
WMay 25 · 03:30S. Szostok—41111113O. Vincenec—112571
WMay 24 · 21:30S. Szostok—117114133O. Vincenec—611511112
LMay 24 · 08:45S. Szostok—118111042O. Vincenec—711712113
WApr 12 · 16:40S. Szostok—11811113O. Vincenec—611681
LApr 12 · 10:40S. Szostok—119981O. Vincenec—91111113
LApr 11 · 16:40S. Szostok—11108121O. Vincenec—81211143
S. Szostok10
WSep 8 · 09:30S. Szostok1.4713127113M. Baron2.3911101191LSep 8 · 06:45S. Szostok2.05871161K. Slawinski1.6611118113WSep 8 · 05:30S. Szostok1.3713811113W. Buczynski2.701111691WSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113WSep 7 · 15:55S. Szostok1.509111111113W. Tobiasz2.4011981342WSep 7 · 14:45G. Wichowski1.75791391S. Szostok1.95111111113WSep 7 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.716690S. Szostok2.001111113WSep 7 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.25971151S. Szostok1.5411118113WSep 7 · 11:05G. Wichowski1.836990S. Szostok1.831111113WSep 7 · 09:55S. Szostok1.50681111113W. Tobiasz2.3611119582
O. Vincenec10
WSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113WSep 8 · 07:30O. Vincenec2.3711112113J. Pruszkowski1.52991191LSep 8 · 06:20O. Vincenec1.861111115102M. Baron1.80991117123LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670
Upcoming Matches
S. Szostok
O. Vincenec
Sep 8 · 10:40O. Vincenec1.82W. Buczynski1.88—Sep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.49S. Szostok1.43—Sep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.75J. Pruszkowski1.36—Sep 8 · 14:20O. Vincenec1.79M. Baron1.84—Sep 8 · 15:05O. Vincenec2.75K. Slawinski1.36—Sep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.69W. Buczynski1.97—Sep 9 · 03:50O. Vincenec1.80P. Kurek1.91—Sep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec—K. Schaniel——Sep 9 · 06:55O. Vincenec2.00R. Gajda1.73—
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