TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13094803
Played Sep 8Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711118611––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.66
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
811711118611––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 18–28 Kacper Slawinski Sebastian Szostok has won 18 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:28What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-28 in 46
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 10 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1505 vs Slawinski 1539
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 100% vs Slawinski 40%
Szostok
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 90% vs Slawinski 70%
Szostok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok +5 · Slawinski -2
Szostok
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 2.05 / Slawinski 1.66
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Slawinski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13094803
Szostok2.05
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 84 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back29% 27 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Slawinski1.66
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 90 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it98% 43 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 64 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok4wins
AwaySlawinski6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok100%3 of 3
AwaySlawinski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok3Slawinski7n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S2Szostok3Slawinski7n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S3Szostok7Slawinski3n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S4Szostok3Slawinski5n = 8Slawinski took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokSlawinskiSzostok − SlawinskiBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.339.8−3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime935 / 1579 vs 615 / 99159.2%62.1%935 / 1579 vs 615 / 991Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSzostok 2.05/Slawinski 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 06:45S. Szostok—871161K. Slawinski—11118113
LAug 13 · 14:45S. Szostok—491151K. Slawinski—11118113
WAug 13 · 06:45S. Szostok—11711113K. Slawinski—911991
WJan 29 · 16:30S. Szostok—13411113K. Slawinski—1111871
LJan 29 · 10:30S. Szostok—7128111K. Slawinski—111011133
LJan 15 · 14:30S. Szostok—891391K. Slawinski—111111113
WJan 15 · 08:30S. Szostok—911711133K. Slawinski—115117112
LJan 14 · 21:40S. Szostok—10590K. Slawinski—1211113
LJan 10 · 18:20S. Szostok—6101171K. Slawinski—11129113
WDec 22 · 18:05S. Szostok—1214113K. Slawinski—101280
S. Szostok10
WSep 8 · 05:30S. Szostok1.3713811113W. Buczynski2.701111691WSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113WSep 7 · 15:55S. Szostok1.509111111113W. Tobiasz2.4011981342WSep 7 · 14:45G. Wichowski1.75791391S. Szostok1.95111111113WSep 7 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.716690S. Szostok2.001111113WSep 7 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.25971151S. Szostok1.5411118113WSep 7 · 11:05G. Wichowski1.836990S. Szostok1.831111113WSep 7 · 09:55S. Szostok1.50681111113W. Tobiasz2.3611119582LSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891WSep 7 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.8511891142S. Szostok1.85511118113
K. Slawinski10
LSep 8 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.83115116102J. Pruszkowski1.86711911123LSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113WSep 6 · 15:30K. Slawinski1.70911911113R. Piechnik2.0011211392WSep 6 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.3011117113R. Wojcik3.10891191LSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113WSep 6 · 11:30K. Slawinski1.73511712113W. Wojtaszczyk2.00119111092WSep 6 · 10:20M. Lach1.95811971K. Slawinski1.7011811113WSep 6 · 09:30R. Piechnik2.6011811492K. Slawinski1.41511911113WSep 6 · 08:45K. Slawinski1.711511113M. Oracz1.9713760WSep 6 · 07:10K. Slawinski1.47101111133W. Wojtaszczyk2.451265111
Upcoming Matches
S. Szostok
Sep 8 · 08:20S. Szostok1.46O. Vincenec2.40—Sep 8 · 09:30S. Szostok1.47M. Baron2.39—Sep 8 · 11:05S. Szostok2.00J. Pruszkowski1.67—Sep 8 · 12:20S. Szostok1.43O. Vincenec2.49—Sep 8 · 13:10S. Szostok1.37W. Buczynski2.70—Sep 8 · 14:45S. Szostok2.00J. Pruszkowski1.67—Sep 8 · 15:30S. Szostok1.43M. Baron2.48—Sep 8 · 16:20S. Szostok2.00K. Slawinski1.67—
K. Slawinski
Sep 8 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.29W. Buczynski3.10—Sep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.36O. Vincenec2.75—Sep 8 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.36M. Baron2.75—Sep 8 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.79J. Pruszkowski1.84—Sep 8 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.34M. Baron2.85—Sep 8 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.29W. Buczynski3.10—Sep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.36O. Vincenec2.75—Sep 8 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.67S. Szostok2.00—
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