TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13096762
Played Sep 8Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161210611117––
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:50 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1161210611117––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 12–13 Sebastian Szostok Oliver Vincenec has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Szostok beat Vincenec 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Szostok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-13 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1366 vs Szostok 1528
Szostok
Wrong
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 40% vs Szostok 80%
Szostok
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 50% vs Szostok 90%
Szostok
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec -1 · Szostok +3
Szostok
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 2.20 / Szostok 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Szostok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13096762
Vincenec2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 191 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back25% 71 of 290
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Szostok1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 329 of 514
Up 2–0, closes it94% 123 of 131
Up 1–0, closes it78% 211 of 270
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec4wins
AwaySzostok6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec33.3%1 of 3
AwaySzostok57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec3Szostok7n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S2Vincenec7Szostok3n = 10Vincenec took 7 of 10
S3Vincenec2Szostok8n = 10Szostok took 8 of 10
S4Vincenec5Szostok5n = 10split evenly
S5Vincenec3Szostok2n = 5Vincenec took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecSzostokV − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.543.1−4.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime647 / 1434 vs 938 / 158245.1%59.3%647 / 1434 vs 938 / 1582Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.240.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokVincenec 2.20/Szostok 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 08:20O. Vincenec—691171S. Szostok—11117113
LAug 20 · 14:45O. Vincenec—116121142S. Szostok—911148113
WAug 20 · 11:05O. Vincenec—111152113S. Szostok—89111192
LAug 6 · 12:40O. Vincenec—711671S. Szostok—11811113
WAug 6 · 06:30O. Vincenec—811611113S. Szostok—11811772
LMay 25 · 03:30O. Vincenec—112571S. Szostok—41111113
LMay 24 · 21:30O. Vincenec—611511112S. Szostok—117114133
WMay 24 · 08:45O. Vincenec—711712113S. Szostok—118111042
LApr 12 · 16:40O. Vincenec—611681S. Szostok—11811113
WApr 12 · 10:40O. Vincenec—91111113S. Szostok—119981
O. Vincenec10
LSep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.4583100J. Pruszkowski1.451111123LSep 8 · 10:40O. Vincenec1.828880W. Buczynski1.881111113WSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113LSep 8 · 08:20S. Szostok1.4611117113O. Vincenec2.40691171WSep 8 · 07:30O. Vincenec2.3711112113J. Pruszkowski1.52991191LSep 8 · 06:20O. Vincenec1.861111115102M. Baron1.80991117123LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133
S. Szostok10
WSep 8 · 13:10S. Szostok1.531051111113W. Buczynski2.3612119472WSep 8 · 11:05S. Szostok1.85711117113J. Pruszkowski1.8011871172WSep 8 · 09:30S. Szostok1.4713127113M. Baron2.3911101191WSep 8 · 08:20S. Szostok1.4611117113O. Vincenec2.40691171LSep 8 · 06:45S. Szostok2.05871161K. Slawinski1.6611118113WSep 8 · 05:30S. Szostok1.3713811113W. Buczynski2.701111691WSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113WSep 7 · 15:55S. Szostok1.509111111113W. Tobiasz2.4011981342WSep 7 · 14:45G. Wichowski1.75791391S. Szostok1.95111111113WSep 7 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.716690S. Szostok2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
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S. Szostok
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