TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097044
Played Sep 8Finished
Kacper Slawinski
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1159111311118––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:10 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1159111311118––
H2H Kacper Slawinski 19–7 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 7 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Vincenec beat Slawinski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-7 in 26
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 12 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawinski 1533 vs Vincenec 1380
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawinski 60% vs Vincenec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawinski 60% vs Vincenec 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawinski +3 · Vincenec +1
Slawinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawinski 1.36 / Vincenec 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Slawinski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13097044
Slawinski1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 90 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it98% 43 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 64 of 77
Vincenec2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 191 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back25% 71 of 290
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlawinski5wins
AwayVincenec5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawinski66.7%4 of 6
AwayVincenec75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawinski6Vincenec4n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S2Slawinski7Vincenec3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S3Slawinski5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S4Slawinski2Vincenec3n = 5Vincenec took 3 of 5
S5Slawinski1Vincenec2n = 3Vincenec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlawinskiVincenecS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.736.8+0.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawinskiVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime616 / 994 vs 649 / 143762%45.2%616 / 994 vs 649 / 1437Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSlawinski 1.36/Vincenec 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.3%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski—91181192O. Vincenec—116119113
WSep 1 · 09:25K. Slawinski—1211123O. Vincenec—109100
LSep 1 · 03:25K. Slawinski—1211581O. Vincenec—14711113
WAug 28 · 14:20K. Slawinski—1111113O. Vincenec—9890
WAug 28 · 06:20K. Slawinski—1111113O. Vincenec—8870
LAug 19 · 15:55K. Slawinski—118771O. Vincenec—61111113
WAug 19 · 09:55K. Slawinski—7111112113O. Vincenec—11891492
LDec 25 · 14:50K. Slawinski—7960O. Vincenec—1111113
WDec 25 · 09:35K. Slawinski—1116113O. Vincenec—71490
LNov 27 · 06:55K. Slawinski—11881192O. Vincenec—711116113
K. Slawinski10
WSep 8 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.29981111113W. Buczynski3.1011113882WSep 8 · 12:45M. Baron2.609124101K. Slawinski1.42111011123WSep 8 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.7911911133J. Pruszkowski1.848118111LSep 8 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.36871171M. Baron2.7511118113LSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113WSep 8 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.2911116113W. Buczynski3.10761141WSep 8 · 06:45S. Szostok2.05871161K. Slawinski1.6611118113LSep 8 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.83115116102J. Pruszkowski1.86711911123LSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113WSep 6 · 15:30K. Slawinski1.70911911113R. Piechnik2.0011211392
O. Vincenec10
WSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113LSep 8 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.4583100J. Pruszkowski1.451111123WSep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.2011126113S. Szostok1.576101171LSep 8 · 10:40O. Vincenec1.828880W. Buczynski1.881111113WSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113LSep 8 · 08:20S. Szostok1.4611117113O. Vincenec2.40691171WSep 8 · 07:30O. Vincenec2.3711112113J. Pruszkowski1.52991191LSep 8 · 06:20O. Vincenec1.861111115102M. Baron1.80991117123LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882
Upcoming Matches
K. Slawinski
O. Vincenec
Sep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.69W. Buczynski1.97—Sep 9 · 03:50O. Vincenec1.80P. Kurek1.91—Sep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.91K. Schaniel1.80—Sep 9 · 06:55O. Vincenec2.00R. Gajda1.73—Sep 9 · 07:45O. Vincenec1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 9 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 9 · 10:10O. Vincenec1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 9 · 11:50O. Vincenec1.80P. Kurek1.91—Sep 9 · 13:05O. Vincenec2.00R. Gajda1.73—
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