TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103064
Played Sep 9Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
2.09
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117911117––
Mariusz Baron
Away
1.61
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
118117911117––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 8–14 Mariusz Baron Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:40What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (56%)
Baron
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-14 in 22
Baron
Wrong
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1293 vs Baron 1326
Baron
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 0% vs Baron 40%
Baron
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 30% vs Baron 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -5 · Baron -2
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Baron) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 2.09 / Baron 1.61
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Baron)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13103064
Ruszkiewicz2.09
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 136 of 344
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 101
Baron1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 220 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it83% 103 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it70% 156 of 224
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz3wins
AwayBaron7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBaron leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewiczn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBaron66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz1Baron9n = 10Baron took 9 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz3Baron7n = 10Baron took 7 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz3Baron3n = 6split evenly
S5Ruszkiewicz2Baron1n = 3Ruszkiewicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczBaronR − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match33.738.0−4.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 864 vs 873 / 180936%48.3%311 / 864 vs 873 / 1809Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaronRuszkiewicz 2.09/Baron 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Baron · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 21:05A. Ruszkiewicz—711714113M. Baron—115111292
LJul 16 · 11:25A. Ruszkiewicz—118113102M. Baron—511711123
LJul 16 · 05:15A. Ruszkiewicz—7870M. Baron—1111113
WMar 31 · 04:20A. Ruszkiewicz—91111113M. Baron—116781
LMar 30 · 18:45A. Ruszkiewicz—8680M. Baron—1111113
LJan 1 · 04:35A. Ruszkiewicz—7570M. Baron—1111113
LDec 30 · 18:35A. Ruszkiewicz—49100M. Baron—1111123
WDec 24 · 20:35A. Ruszkiewicz—461111113M. Baron—11118572
LNov 7 · 08:10A. Ruszkiewicz—91011101M. Baron—11126123
LOct 15 · 18:00A. Ruszkiewicz—611971M. Baron—11511113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 9 · 18:25S. Krupa1.5111711113A. Ruszkiewicz2.29911891LSep 9 · 17:10W. Jozala1.951111113A. Ruszkiewicz1.759050LSep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.331111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.107980LSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.15511212102M. Adamus1.601171110123LSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181WSep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.86511761A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011711113LSep 8 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz1.508890M. Cesarz2.401111113WSep 8 · 04:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.451111123R. Skotniczny1.4737100LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163
M. Baron10
LSep 9 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.55471114113M. Baron2.30111151262LSep 9 · 16:50S. Krupa1.6711814113M. Baron2.005111281WSep 9 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.5671141152M. Baron2.17118113113LSep 8 · 17:05M. Baron2.358980J. Pruszkowski1.521111113WSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241LSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113LSep 8 · 12:45M. Baron2.609124101K. Slawinski1.42111011123LSep 8 · 11:30M. Baron1.739111631W. Buczynski2.0011918113WSep 8 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.36871171M. Baron2.7511118113LSep 8 · 09:30S. Szostok1.4713127113M. Baron2.3911101191
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