TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108663
Played Sep 11Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012119911118116
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Ruszkiewicz above · Oliwier Sokolowski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 98 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oliwier Sokolowski at 67.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 0–5 Oliwier Sokolowski Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sokolowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Sokolowski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1323 vs Sokolowski 1375
Sokolowski
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Sokolowski 20%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Sokolowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz +2 · Sokolowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 2.50 / Sokolowski 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Sokolowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13108663
Ruszkiewicz2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 136 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 100
Sokolowski1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 81 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 60 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz0wins
AwaySokolowski5wins
3 of 5 to a deciderSokolowski leads 5–0, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySokolowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz2Sokolowski3n = 5Sokolowski took 3 of 5
S2Ruszkiewicz2Sokolowski3n = 5Sokolowski took 3 of 5
S3Ruszkiewicz2Sokolowski3n = 5Sokolowski took 3 of 5
S4Ruszkiewicz1Sokolowski3n = 4Sokolowski took 3 of 4
S5Ruszkiewicz0Sokolowski3n = 3Sokolowski took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczSokolowskiR − SBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match40.244.0−3.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 859 vs 222 / 52236.2%42.5%311 / 859 vs 222 / 522Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiRuszkiewicz 2.50/Sokolowski 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 16 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz—611891O. Sokolowski—11211113
LJul 6 · 10:35A. Ruszkiewicz—411611132O. Sokolowski—119116153
LJul 6 · 03:00A. Ruszkiewicz—101390O. Sokolowski—1215113
LJun 2 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz—116121062O. Sokolowski—4111012113
LMar 28 · 09:20A. Ruszkiewicz—11611982O. Sokolowski—811611113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WSep 9 · 20:45W. Pytlas1.4410860A. Ruszkiewicz2.501211113WSep 9 · 19:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.0911119113M. Baron1.61871171LSep 9 · 18:25S. Krupa1.5111711113A. Ruszkiewicz2.29911891LSep 9 · 17:10W. Jozala1.951111113A. Ruszkiewicz1.759050LSep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.331111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.107980LSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.15511212102M. Adamus1.601171110123LSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181WSep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.86511761A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011711113LSep 8 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz1.508890M. Cesarz2.401111113WSep 8 · 04:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.451111123R. Skotniczny1.4737100
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 11 · 16:35O. Sokolowski3.25911611113L. Oracz1.3311311792WSep 10 · 08:20P. Adamus2.0081111442O. Sokolowski1.70117811113LSep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.0711911113O. Sokolowski1.62511791LSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk2.06119157113O. Sokolowski1.63811131172LSep 10 · 03:10M. Lebek1.521111113O. Sokolowski2.303990LSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071WSep 10 · 01:35A. Burkacki1.95711971O. Sokolowski1.7511911113LSep 9 · 23:35M. Baron1.83111111123O. Sokolowski1.868913101WSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Ruszkiewicz
Sep 11 · 17:45A. Ruszkiewicz2.00K. Schaniel1.73—Sep 11 · 18:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.38S. Krupa1.53—Sep 11 · 20:05A. Ruszkiewicz2.50L. Oracz1.50—Sep 11 · 21:45A. Ruszkiewicz2.00K. Schaniel1.73—Sep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.20O. Vincenec1.61—Sep 11 · 23:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.73G. Sawicki2.00—Sep 12 · 24:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.38S. Krupa1.53—Sep 12 · 02:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.50L. Oracz1.50—
O. Sokolowski1 of 10 neutral
Sep 11 · 18:10O. Sokolowski1.91O. Vincenec1.80—Sep 11 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.83K. Schaniel1.83—Sep 11 · 19:40O. Sokolowski2.10S. Krupa1.67—Sep 12 · 03:35O. Sokolowski1.49O. Sokolowski2.33—Sep 12 · 05:10O. Sokolowski—R. Skotniczny——Sep 12 · 06:25O. Sokolowski—P. Mecik——Sep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski—K. Adamus——Sep 12 · 08:45O. Sokolowski—W. Pytlas——Sep 12 · 23:30O. Sokolowski—G. Sawicki——Sep 13 · 24:45O. Sokolowski—R. Szymik——
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