TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105494
Played Sep 10Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
2.06
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1189111513711117
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:47 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timePawel Slosarczyk to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
1189111513711117
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 10–9 Oliwier Sokolowski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Sokolowski beat Slosarczyk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:47What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (56%)
Sokolowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1265 vs Sokolowski 1420
Sokolowski
Wrong
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 40% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 50% vs Sokolowski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk +1 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 2.06 / Sokolowski 1.63
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sokolowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13105494
Slosarczyk2.06
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 105 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back15% 28 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 119
Sokolowski1.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 80 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 59 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk5wins
AwaySokolowski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk66.7%4 of 6
AwaySokolowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk6Sokolowski4n = 10Slosarczyk took 6 of 10
S2Slosarczyk4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S3Slosarczyk3Sokolowski7n = 10Sokolowski took 7 of 10
S4Slosarczyk3Sokolowski4n = 7Sokolowski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykSokolowskiSlosarczyk − SokolowskiBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.3−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 818 vs 221 / 51738.3%42.8%313 / 818 vs 221 / 517Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.236.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSlosarczyk 2.06/Sokolowski 1.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk—41090O. Sokolowski—1112113
LAug 30 · 13:05P. Slosarczyk—10144101O. Sokolowski—121211123
WAug 30 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk—1011411113O. Sokolowski—12411772
WAug 26 · 01:00P. Slosarczyk—11118133O. Sokolowski—7911111
LAug 25 · 17:45P. Slosarczyk—78110O. Sokolowski—1111133
WAug 16 · 08:45P. Slosarczyk—1111113O. Sokolowski—8990
WAug 1 · 13:05P. Slosarczyk—1141110113O. Sokolowski—51151272
LAug 1 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk—1174121O. Sokolowski—31111143
WJul 27 · 09:25P. Slosarczyk—111011113O. Sokolowski—712381
LJul 27 · 03:25P. Slosarczyk—123691O. Sokolowski—101111113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 10 · 04:00P. Adamus1.45111011123P. Slosarczyk2.444126101WSep 10 · 02:45P. Slosarczyk1.861111113A. Burkacki1.838690LSep 10 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk2.903680M. Lebek1.331111113WSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472LSep 9 · 22:25P. Slosarczyk2.07311101152M. Baron1.62118129113LSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113WSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 05:10K. Juszczyk1.309580P. Slosarczyk3.101111113
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 03:10M. Lebek1.521111113O. Sokolowski2.303990LSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071WSep 10 · 01:35A. Burkacki1.95711971O. Sokolowski1.7511911113LSep 9 · 23:35M. Baron1.83111111123O. Sokolowski1.868913101WSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113WSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45117691O. Sokolowski2.4371111113WSep 9 · 07:35O. Sokolowski1.831111113M. Paszkiewicz1.837960LSep 9 · 06:25M. Sikon2.171111113O. Sokolowski1.567980
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