TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104268
Played Sep 10Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
2.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611811––––
Marian Lebek
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
311611811––––
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 6–29 Marian Lebek Pawel Slosarczyk has won 6 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-29 in 35
Lebek
Correct
gap of 23 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1258 vs Lebek 1408
Lebek
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 60% vs Lebek 40%
Slosarczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 50% vs Lebek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk +1 · Lebek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 2.90 / Lebek 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Lebek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13104268
Slosarczyk2.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 103 of 325
Down 0–1, comes back14% 27 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 117
Lebek1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 236 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it96% 153 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it81% 205 of 254
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk4wins
AwayLebek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLebek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk80%4 of 5
AwayLebek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S2Slosarczyk4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S3Slosarczyk4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S4Slosarczyk2Lebek5n = 7Lebek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykLebekS − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.637.2−5.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 816 vs 846 / 145938.2%58%312 / 816 vs 846 / 1459Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekSlosarczyk 2.90/Lebek 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 04:00P. Slosarczyk—1111113M. Lebek—9390
WAug 7 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk—11114113M. Lebek—371181
LJul 30 · 21:35P. Slosarczyk—1157121M. Lebek—61111143
LJul 26 · 11:00P. Slosarczyk—7121261M. Lebek—111410113
WJul 26 · 04:55P. Slosarczyk—11511113M. Lebek—911961
LJun 26 · 06:25P. Slosarczyk—112641M. Lebek—111011113
LDec 12 · 03:45P. Slosarczyk—10640M. Lebek—1211113
WNov 17 · 01:45P. Slosarczyk—111375113M. Lebek—911111192
LNov 10 · 01:25P. Slosarczyk—7940M. Lebek—1111113
LNov 9 · 21:45P. Slosarczyk—561141M. Lebek—11115113
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472LSep 9 · 22:25P. Slosarczyk2.07311101152M. Baron1.62118129113LSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113WSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 05:10K. Juszczyk1.309580P. Slosarczyk3.101111113LSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111WSep 5 · 17:05M. Lach1.303660P. Slosarczyk3.201111113LSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113
M. Lebek10
WSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek1.35111148113A. Burkacki2.8057111172LSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113LSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680LSep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45117691O. Sokolowski2.4371111113WSep 9 · 07:10M. Lebek1.7051111113M. Sikon2.00115491WSep 9 · 06:00M. Lebek1.701112113M. Adamus1.9581090WSep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.321111113J. Kaczmarek2.906590WSep 9 · 03:10M. Lebek1.4611129113M. Paszkiewicz2.506101161LSep 9 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.72711115113M. Lebek1.9211851172LSep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.0511912113M. Lebek1.296111061
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