TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100520
Played Sep 9Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511115114119––
Mateusz Sikon
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
511115114119––
H2H Marian Lebek 5–1 Mateusz Sikon Mateusz Sikon has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Lebek
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1443 vs Sikon 1388
Lebek
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 60% vs Sikon 80%
Sikon
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 50% vs Sikon 80%
Sikon
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek +3 · Sikon +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.70 / Sikon 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Lebek)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13100520
Lebek1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 236 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it96% 153 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it81% 205 of 254
Sikon2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 91 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back14% 24 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLebek5wins
AwaySikon1wins
Lebek leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek100%3 of 3
AwaySikon33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek3Sikon3n = 6split evenly
S2Lebek6Sikon0n = 6Lebek took 6 of 6
S3Lebek5Sikon1n = 6Lebek took 5 of 6
S4Lebek2Sikon1n = 3Lebek took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricLebekSikonL − SBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match36.526.5+10.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime845 / 1455 vs 146 / 38458.1%38%845 / 1455 vs 146 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.70/Sikon 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 9 · 07:10M. Lebek—51111113M. Sikon—115491
LSep 9 · 01:10M. Lebek—6111061M. Sikon—11912113
WSep 2 · 05:10M. Lebek—161111113M. Sikon—185751
WSep 2 · 24:00M. Lebek—1111113M. Sikon—5650
WAug 7 · 08:20M. Lebek—1111113M. Sikon—4850
WAug 6 · 21:10M. Lebek—1111113M. Sikon—7570
M. Lebek10
WSep 9 · 06:00M. Lebek1.701112113M. Adamus1.9581090WSep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.321111113J. Kaczmarek2.906590WSep 9 · 03:10M. Lebek1.4611129113M. Paszkiewicz2.506101161LSep 9 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.72711115113M. Lebek1.9211851172LSep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.0511912113M. Lebek1.296111061WSep 9 · 24:25M. Lebek1.4511211113O. Sokolowski2.44611661LSep 8 · 22:50M. Lebek1.50141171262M. Paszkiewicz2.4012131110113LSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113
M. Sikon10
WSep 9 · 06:25M. Sikon2.171111113O. Sokolowski1.567980WSep 9 · 04:50M. Sikon2.00111110113M. Paszkiewicz1.71591261WSep 9 · 04:00M. Adamus1.57971191M. Sikon2.1611116113LSep 9 · 02:45M. Sikon2.00461181O. Sokolowski1.7011114113WSep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.0511912113M. Lebek1.296111061WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891WSep 8 · 22:25M. Sikon3.35841111113M. Tkocz1.2511119692WSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111WSep 8 · 04:20J. Nowak1.8187111192M. Sikon1.83111148113LSep 8 · 03:30O. Jadach1.4711911113M. Sikon2.45611441
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