TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098275
Played Sep 8Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
3.35
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811411119116119
Marek Tkocz
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:50 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
811411119116119
H2H Mateusz Sikon 0–2 Marek Tkocz Mateusz Sikon has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:50What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Tkocz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1305 vs Tkocz 1416
Tkocz
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 60% vs Tkocz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 40% vs Tkocz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +2 · Tkocz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkocz form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 3.35 / Tkocz 1.25
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Tkocz)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13098275
Sikon3.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 85 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back13% 23 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 109
Tkocz1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 316 of 468
Up 2–0, closes it95% 178 of 187
Up 1–0, closes it85% 260 of 307
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSikon0wins
AwayTkocz2wins
Tkocz leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricSikonTkoczS − TBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match23.033.5−10.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 376 vs 761 / 113937.2%66.8%140 / 376 vs 761 / 1139Avg sets wonper match1.62.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczSikon 3.35/Tkocz 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.6%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 2 · 01:10M. Sikon—10670M. Tkocz—1211113
LAug 6 · 23:35M. Sikon—9680M. Tkocz—1111113
M. Sikon10
WSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111WSep 8 · 04:20J. Nowak1.8187111192M. Sikon1.83111148113LSep 8 · 03:30O. Jadach1.4711911113M. Sikon2.45611441LSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153WSep 8 · 24:50M. Sikon1.7611911113P. Kurek1.96811881LSep 8 · 24:10G. Marud1.5111115113M. Sikon2.28581171LSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.7599100K. Adamus1.361111123LSep 7 · 21:30M. Sikon2.808390O. Jadach1.391111113LSep 7 · 20:20M. Sikon2.359850G. Marud1.541111113WSep 7 · 18:45M. Sikon1.86911711113J. Nowak1.8311811782
M. Tkocz10
LSep 8 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.451481111102O. Sokolowski2.55161159123LSep 8 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.3811712552S. Juzek2.808111011113WSep 8 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.471111113R. Gajda2.508870WSep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.901011116113K. Juszczyk1.7512381132WSep 8 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.209380M. Tkocz1.551111113LSep 8 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.6091141142P. Kaczynski2.20118118113LSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590LSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113
Upcoming Matches
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M. Tkocz
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