TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097806
Played Sep 8Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1187111210511511
Sebastian Juzek
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeSebastian Juzek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
1187111210511511
H2H Marek Tkocz 3–1 Sebastian Juzek Sebastian Juzek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:49What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (67%)
Tkocz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Tkocz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1441 vs Juzek 1329
Tkocz
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 60% vs Juzek 20%
Tkocz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 50% vs Juzek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz +3 · Juzek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juzek form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.38 / Juzek 2.80
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Tkocz)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13097806
Tkocz1.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 316 of 468
Up 2–0, closes it95% 178 of 187
Up 1–0, closes it85% 260 of 307
Juzek2.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 102 of 290
Down 0–1, comes back19% 33 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTkocz3wins
AwayJuzek1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderTkocz leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkocz66.7%2 of 3
AwayJuzekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkocz3Juzek1n = 4Tkocz took 3 of 4
S2Tkocz2Juzek2n = 4split evenly
S3Tkocz3Juzek1n = 4Tkocz took 3 of 4
S4Tkocz3Juzek0n = 3Tkocz took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricTkoczJuzekT − JBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.033.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczJuzekBasisWin rate · lifetime761 / 1137 vs 305 / 74566.9%40.9%761 / 1137 vs 305 / 745Avg sets wonper match2.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.38/Juzek 2.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.8%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Juzek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 21 · 13:05M. Tkocz—11911113S. Juzek—611751
LJun 21 · 06:55M. Tkocz—11771182S. Juzek—811116113
WJul 28 · 24:25M. Tkocz—101111113S. Juzek—125881
WJul 27 · 20:45M. Tkocz—1111133S. Juzek—75110
M. Tkocz10
WSep 8 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.471111113R. Gajda2.508870WSep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.901011116113K. Juszczyk1.7512381132WSep 8 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.209380M. Tkocz1.551111113LSep 8 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.6091141142P. Kaczynski2.20118118113LSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590LSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151WSep 3 · 20:20J. Kaczmarek5.0591161162M. Tkocz1.12116117113
S. Juzek10
LSep 8 · 19:10W. Pytlas1.6511811113S. Juzek2.10511881LSep 8 · 18:25S. Juzek2.341112851P. Kaczynski1.4981411113LSep 8 · 16:50S. Juzek2.3541113362K. Juszczyk1.481191111113WSep 8 · 16:00R. Gajda1.741167101S. Juzek1.9141111123LSep 2 · 16:20S. Juzek1.858560R. Gajda1.801111113WSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 13:55S. Juzek2.1171311113M. Adamus1.621111941WSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 11:55S. Juzek1.68591171W. Buczynski2.0111119113WSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100
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