TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097816
Played Sep 8Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.47
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118117––––
Rafal Gajda
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
118118117––––
H2H Marek Tkocz 1–0 Rafal Gajda Rafal Gajda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:51What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1427 vs Gajda 1424
Tkocz
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 40% vs Gajda 80%
Gajda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 50% vs Gajda 70%
Gajda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz +2 · Gajda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.47 / Gajda 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Tkocz)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13097816
Tkocz1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 316 of 468
Up 2–0, closes it95% 178 of 187
Up 1–0, closes it85% 260 of 307
Gajda2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 133 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back28% 47 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTkocz1wins
AwayGajda0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderTkocz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTkoczGajdaT − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match51.032.0+19.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczGajdaBasisWin rate · lifetime760 / 1136 vs 409 / 78866.9%51.9%760 / 1136 vs 409 / 788Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.47/Gajda 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 25 · 18:25M. Tkocz—119119113R. Gajda—61131112
M. Tkocz10
WSep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.901011116113K. Juszczyk1.7512381132WSep 8 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.209380M. Tkocz1.551111113LSep 8 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.6091141142P. Kaczynski2.20118118113LSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590LSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151WSep 3 · 20:20J. Kaczmarek5.0591161162M. Tkocz1.12116117113WSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113
R. Gajda10
WSep 8 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.7311114452R. Gajda2.00971111113WSep 8 · 17:10R. Gajda2.008111111123P. Kaczynski1.70113139102LSep 8 · 16:00R. Gajda1.741167101S. Juzek1.9141111123WSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 3 · 13:05P. Kurek2.1066110R. Gajda1.671111133LSep 3 · 12:15R. Gajda2.2011512872M. Sikon1.618111011113WSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:50O. Vincenec1.83691111143R. Gajda1.83111126122WSep 3 · 08:35R. Gajda2.20513811153M. Sikon1.611111119132WSep 3 · 06:55R. Gajda1.67111189113P. Kurek2.1079111162
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