TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090679
Played Sep 8Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012113118611113
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
1012113118611113
H2H Marek Tkocz 10–11 Krzysztof Juszczyk Marek Tkocz has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Juszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1415 vs Juszczyk 1446
Juszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 20% vs Juszczyk 80%
Juszczyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 40% vs Juszczyk 80%
Juszczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz +1 · Juszczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Juszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juszczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.90 / Juszczyk 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Juszczyk)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13090679
Tkocz1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 20 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back25% 8 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Juszczyk1.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 195 of 310
Up 2–0, closes it94% 113 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it79% 156 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkocz6wins
AwayJuszczyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTkocz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkocz85.7%6 of 7
AwayJuszczyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkocz7Juszczyk3n = 10Tkocz took 7 of 10
S2Tkocz7Juszczyk3n = 10Tkocz took 7 of 10
S3Tkocz4Juszczyk6n = 10Juszczyk took 6 of 10
S4Tkocz2Juszczyk4n = 6Juszczyk took 4 of 6
S5Tkocz2Juszczyk1n = 3Tkocz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkoczJuszczykT − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.032.6+3.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime759 / 1135 vs 656 / 122066.9%53.8%759 / 1135 vs 656 / 1220Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykTkocz 1.90/Juszczyk 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 23:35M. Tkocz—21080K. Juszczyk—1112113
WAug 27 · 17:35M. Tkocz—111175113K. Juszczyk—56111102
LAug 20 · 19:35M. Tkocz—118981K. Juszczyk—91111113
LAug 18 · 15:35M. Tkocz—811891K. Juszczyk—11511113
WAug 13 · 20:20M. Tkocz—11128113K. Juszczyk—3101171
LAug 6 · 17:35M. Tkocz—81111632K. Juszczyk—118811113
WJun 18 · 20:20M. Tkocz—113711113K. Juszczyk—91111682
WMar 16 · 02:35M. Tkocz—1111113K. Juszczyk—8430
WMar 15 · 20:35M. Tkocz—1111113K. Juszczyk—5780
WJan 25 · 05:20M. Tkocz—1111113K. Juszczyk—9460
M. Tkocz10
WSep 8 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.471111113R. Gajda2.508870WSep 8 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.209380M. Tkocz1.551111113LSep 8 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.6091141142P. Kaczynski2.20118118113LSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590LSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151WSep 3 · 20:20J. Kaczmarek5.0591161162M. Tkocz1.12116117113WSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113
K. Juszczyk10
WSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113WSep 8 · 16:50S. Juzek2.3541113362K. Juszczyk1.481191111113LSep 8 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.831111113K. Juszczyk1.816480WSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113WSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.331111113W. Jozala2.957540LSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.74118691S. Krupa1.9561111113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Ogon5.254780K. Juszczyk1.111111113WSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121WSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113
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