TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090681
Played Sep 8Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118411118411
Piotr Kaczynski
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Kaczynski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
911118411118411
H2H Marek Tkocz 15–10 Piotr Kaczynski Piotr Kaczynski has won 10 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:17What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Tkocz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-10 in 25
Tkocz
Wrong
gap of 5 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1413 vs Kaczynski 1432
Kaczynski
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 20% vs Kaczynski 60%
Kaczynski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 40% vs Kaczynski 60%
Kaczynski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz -3 · Kaczynski +1
Tkocz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczynski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.60 / Kaczynski 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Tkocz)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13090681
Tkocz1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 316 of 468
Up 2–0, closes it95% 178 of 187
Up 1–0, closes it85% 260 of 307
Kaczynski2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 31 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back25% 11 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkocz7wins
AwayKaczynski3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTkocz leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkocz75%6 of 8
AwayKaczynskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkocz8Kaczynski2n = 10Tkocz took 8 of 10
S2Tkocz6Kaczynski4n = 10Tkocz took 6 of 10
S3Tkocz6Kaczynski4n = 10Tkocz took 6 of 10
S4Tkocz3Kaczynski4n = 7Kaczynski took 4 of 7
S5Tkocz3Kaczynski2n = 5Tkocz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkoczKaczynskiT − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.138.4+4.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczKaczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime758 / 1133 vs 204 / 37866.9%54%758 / 1133 vs 204 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.60/Kaczynski 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kaczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 15:10M. Tkocz—11149101P. Kaczynski—51611123
LAug 25 · 17:10M. Tkocz—1011311122P. Kaczynski—128118143
WAug 18 · 19:35M. Tkocz—119127113P. Kaczynski—411101182
WAug 11 · 16:50M. Tkocz—1111113P. Kaczynski—8860
WAug 4 · 20:00M. Tkocz—1111139113P. Kaczynski—913111162
LJun 23 · 20:20M. Tkocz—11841192P. Kaczynski—911119113
WJun 16 · 19:35M. Tkocz—11127113P. Kaczynski—8101171
WJun 9 · 20:20M. Tkocz—5111110113P. Kaczynski—11821272
WJun 2 · 17:10M. Tkocz—1511113P. Kaczynski—13670
WApr 7 · 17:10M. Tkocz—1111113P. Kaczynski—4590
M. Tkocz10
WSep 8 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.209380M. Tkocz1.551111113LSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590LSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151WSep 3 · 20:20J. Kaczmarek5.0591161162M. Tkocz1.12116117113WSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113LSep 3 · 17:35K. Hetnar2.051111133M. Tkocz1.6699110WSep 3 · 16:50S. Szostok1.93713761M. Tkocz1.77111111113
P. Kaczynski10
LSep 8 · 17:10R. Gajda2.008111111123P. Kaczynski1.70113139102WSep 1 · 20:45P. Kaczynski1.36118811113R. Adach2.8051111742LSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113LSep 1 · 18:00P. Kaczynski2.156880W. Pytlas1.621111113WSep 1 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.50111113113P. Zemla1.45461551WSep 1 · 15:10P. Kaczynski2.1051611123M. Tkocz1.6011149101LAug 25 · 20:20P. Kaczynski1.8511670P. Gumulinski1.851118113WAug 25 · 18:45T. Wrzalik2.45112791P. Kaczynski1.4771111113LAug 25 · 18:00G. Marud2.0011711163P. Kaczynski1.668117141WAug 25 · 17:10P. Kaczynski1.95128118143M. Tkocz1.701011311122
Upcoming Matches
M. Tkocz
Sep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.90K. Juszczyk1.75—Sep 8 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.41R. Gajda2.60—Sep 8 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.35S. Juzek2.80—Sep 8 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.38O. Sokolowski2.65—Sep 8 · 22:25M. Tkocz1.25M. Sikon3.35—Sep 8 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.37M. Paszkiewicz2.70—Sep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41M. Adamus2.55—Sep 9 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.72M. Lebek1.92—
P. Kaczynski
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