TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090687
Played Sep 8Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81111311131191210
Piotr Kaczynski
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
81111311131191210
H2H Rafal Gajda 1–1 Piotr Kaczynski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:18What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Kaczynski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1402 vs Kaczynski 1442
Kaczynski
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 60% vs Kaczynski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 70% vs Kaczynski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda -1 · Kaczynski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kaczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 2.00 / Kaczynski 1.70
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kaczynski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13090687
Gajda2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 133 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back28% 47 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 80
Kaczynski1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 57 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it100% 24 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGajda1wins
AwayKaczynski1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricGajdaKaczynskiG − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match32.031.5+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaKaczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 786 vs 205 / 37951.8%54.1%407 / 786 vs 205 / 379Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczynskiGajda 2.00/Kaczynski 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Kaczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 25 · 16:00R. Gajda—127381P. Kaczynski—101111113
WJul 14 · 17:10R. Gajda—1211113P. Kaczynski—10640
R. Gajda10
LSep 8 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.471111113R. Gajda2.508870WSep 8 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.7311114452R. Gajda2.00971111113LSep 8 · 16:00R. Gajda1.741167101S. Juzek1.9141111123WSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 3 · 13:05P. Kurek2.1066110R. Gajda1.671111133LSep 3 · 12:15R. Gajda2.2011512872M. Sikon1.618111011113WSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:50O. Vincenec1.83691111143R. Gajda1.83111126122WSep 3 · 08:35R. Gajda2.20513811153M. Sikon1.611111119132WSep 3 · 06:55R. Gajda1.67111189113P. Kurek2.1079111162
P. Kaczynski10
WSep 8 · 18:25S. Juzek2.341112851P. Kaczynski1.4981411113WSep 8 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.6091141142P. Kaczynski2.20118118113WSep 1 · 20:45P. Kaczynski1.36118811113R. Adach2.8051111742LSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113LSep 1 · 18:00P. Kaczynski2.156880W. Pytlas1.621111113WSep 1 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.50111113113P. Zemla1.45461551WSep 1 · 15:10P. Kaczynski2.1051611123M. Tkocz1.6011149101LAug 25 · 20:20P. Kaczynski1.8511670P. Gumulinski1.851118113WAug 25 · 18:45T. Wrzalik2.45112791P. Kaczynski1.4771111113LAug 25 · 18:00G. Marud2.0011711163P. Kaczynski1.668117141
Upcoming Matches
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P. Kaczynski
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