TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090885
Played Sep 8Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
14168111151191012
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
2.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:37 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
107 points played in total.
Set by set
14168111151191012
H2H Marek Tkocz 3–1 Oliwier Sokolowski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:37What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Tkocz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Tkocz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1427 vs Sokolowski 1410
Tkocz
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 60% vs Sokolowski 40%
Tkocz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 40% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz -1 · Sokolowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.45 / Sokolowski 2.55
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Tkocz)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13090885
Tkocz1.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 316 of 468
Up 2–0, closes it95% 178 of 187
Up 1–0, closes it85% 260 of 307
Sokolowski2.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 108 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTkocz3wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderTkocz leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkocz100%3 of 3
AwaySokolowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkocz3Sokolowski1n = 4Tkocz took 3 of 4
S2Tkocz2Sokolowski2n = 4split evenly
S3Tkocz4Sokolowski0n = 4Tkocz took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricTkoczSokolowskiT − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.534.0+7.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime761 / 1138 vs 212 / 50266.9%42.2%761 / 1138 vs 212 / 502Avg sets wonper match2.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.45/Sokolowski 2.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.6%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJun 21 · 14:40M. Tkocz—9101161O. Sokolowski—11128113
WJun 21 · 06:05M. Tkocz—11141111113O. Sokolowski—31661352
WJun 9 · 23:10M. Tkocz—1111113O. Sokolowski—9740
WJun 9 · 17:10M. Tkocz—1115133O. Sokolowski—713110
M. Tkocz10
LSep 8 · 22:25M. Sikon3.35841111113M. Tkocz1.2511119692LSep 8 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.3811712552S. Juzek2.808111011113WSep 8 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.471111113R. Gajda2.508870WSep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.901011116113K. Juszczyk1.7512381132WSep 8 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.209380M. Tkocz1.551111113LSep 8 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.6091141142P. Kaczynski2.20118118113LSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590LSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192WSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.6711711352M. Baron2.10411711113WSep 4 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.7311711123M. Adamus2.008119101WSep 4 · 17:45O. Sokolowski1.4011118123A. Szurgot2.757711101WSep 4 · 16:15O. Sokolowski1.83111159113K. Schaniel1.8367111182
Upcoming Matches
M. Tkocz
O. Sokolowski1 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 24:25O. Sokolowski2.44M. Lebek1.45—Sep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.83M. Paszkiewicz1.83—Sep 9 · 02:45O. Sokolowski1.57M. Sikon2.16—Sep 9 · 03:35O. Sokolowski1.58J. Kaczmarek2.14—Sep 9 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.84M. Adamus1.80—Sep 9 · 06:25O. Sokolowski1.56M. Sikon2.17—Sep 9 · 07:35O. Sokolowski1.82M. Paszkiewicz1.81—Sep 9 · 08:45O. Sokolowski2.43M. Lebek1.45—Sep 9 · 21:10O. Sokolowski—P. Slosarczyk——Sep 10 · 02:20O. Sokolowski—P. Adamus——
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