TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098848
Played Sep 8Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811811115115511
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
811811115115511
H2H Mariusz Adamus 10–11 Oliwier Sokolowski Mariusz Adamus has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1341 vs Sokolowski 1421
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Sokolowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 40% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +2 · Sokolowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokolowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.80 / Sokolowski 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sokolowski)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13098848
Adamus1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 227 of 414
Up 2–0, closes it88% 86 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it72% 154 of 214
Sokolowski1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 108 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus4wins
AwaySokolowski6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSokolowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus50%2 of 4
AwaySokolowski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S2Adamus5Sokolowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus5Sokolowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamus1Sokolowski5n = 6Sokolowski took 5 of 6
S5Adamus2Sokolowski1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusSokolowskiA − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.635.6−2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime792 / 1632 vs 213 / 50348.5%42.4%792 / 1632 vs 213 / 503Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiAdamus 1.80/Sokolowski 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 18:55M. Adamus—8119101O. Sokolowski—11711123
LAug 14 · 12:45M. Adamus—3390O. Sokolowski—1111113
LAug 14 · 10:20M. Adamus—6911111O. Sokolowski—11118133
WAug 13 · 05:30M. Adamus—1111113O. Sokolowski—4980
LAug 12 · 23:10M. Adamus—8580O. Sokolowski—1111113
WAug 12 · 07:10M. Adamus—611114113O. Sokolowski—11971182
LJul 28 · 21:20M. Adamus—11711792O. Sokolowski—611711113
LJul 28 · 15:25M. Adamus—116661O. Sokolowski—91111113
WJun 23 · 09:25M. Adamus—311611113O. Sokolowski—11411452
WJun 23 · 03:25M. Adamus—1111113O. Sokolowski—6730
M. Adamus10
WSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662WSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.15511212102M. Adamus1.601171110123LSep 8 · 07:35M. Cesarz2.951111610113M. Adamus1.3587111272LSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100LSep 8 · 04:50R. Skotniczny1.57111111113M. Adamus2.16913461WSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113LSep 7 · 13:55W. Urban1.80111177113M. Adamus1.9167111162WSep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00116681M. Adamus1.7371111113LSep 7 · 12:15M. Adamus2.0011114982P. Przewlocki1.73641111113LSep 7 · 10:35M. Adamus1.8013960R. Niemiec1.911511113
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 8 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.451481111102O. Sokolowski2.55161159123LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192WSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.6711711352M. Baron2.10411711113WSep 4 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.7311711123M. Adamus2.008119101WSep 4 · 17:45O. Sokolowski1.4011118123A. Szurgot2.757711101WSep 4 · 16:15O. Sokolowski1.83111159113K. Schaniel1.8367111182
Upcoming Matches
M. Adamus
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Sep 9 · 24:25O. Sokolowski2.44M. Lebek1.45—Sep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.83M. Paszkiewicz1.83—Sep 9 · 02:45O. Sokolowski1.57M. Sikon2.16—Sep 9 · 03:35O. Sokolowski1.58J. Kaczmarek2.14—Sep 9 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.86M. Adamus1.83—Sep 9 · 06:25O. Sokolowski1.56M. Sikon2.17—Sep 9 · 07:35O. Sokolowski1.82M. Paszkiewicz1.81—Sep 9 · 08:45O. Sokolowski2.43M. Lebek1.45—Sep 9 · 21:10O. Sokolowski—P. Slosarczyk——Sep 10 · 02:20O. Sokolowski—P. Adamus——
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