TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097419
Played Sep 8Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115111312101311––
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:43 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
115111312101311––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 2–2 Michal Paszkiewicz Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1289 vs Paszkiewicz 1420
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 40% vs Paszkiewicz 80%
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 30% vs Paszkiewicz 50%
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +1 · Paszkiewicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Paszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 1.90 / Paszkiewicz 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Paszkiewicz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13097419
Sikon1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 85 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back13% 23 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 109
Paszkiewicz1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 81 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it87% 60 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSikon2wins
AwayPaszkiewicz2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon66.7%2 of 3
AwayPaszkiewiczn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon3Paszkiewicz1n = 4Sikon took 3 of 4
S2Sikon1Paszkiewicz3n = 4Paszkiewicz took 3 of 4
S3Sikon2Paszkiewicz2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSikonPaszkiewiczS − PBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match30.830.2+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 375 vs 429 / 80137.1%53.6%139 / 375 vs 429 / 801Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaszkiewiczSikon 1.90/Paszkiewicz 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.2%
Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 18 · 24:10M. Sikon—5570M. Paszkiewicz—1111113
WAug 7 · 03:10M. Sikon—11811113M. Paszkiewicz—711871
WAug 3 · 02:45M. Sikon—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—4670
LAug 2 · 18:25M. Sikon—115971M. Paszkiewicz—51111113
M. Sikon10
WSep 8 · 22:25M. Sikon3.35841111113M. Tkocz1.2511119692WSep 8 · 04:20J. Nowak1.8187111192M. Sikon1.83111148113LSep 8 · 03:30O. Jadach1.4711911113M. Sikon2.45611441LSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153WSep 8 · 24:50M. Sikon1.7611911113P. Kurek1.96811881LSep 8 · 24:10G. Marud1.5111115113M. Sikon2.28581171LSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.7599100K. Adamus1.361111123LSep 7 · 21:30M. Sikon2.808390O. Jadach1.391111113LSep 7 · 20:20M. Sikon2.359850G. Marud1.541111113WSep 7 · 18:45M. Sikon1.86911711113J. Nowak1.8311811782
M. Paszkiewicz10
WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113LSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.7091111972M. Paszkiewicz1.40114411113LSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sikon
Sep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.23M. Adamus1.53—Sep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.05M. Lebek1.29—Sep 9 · 02:45M. Sikon2.16O. Sokolowski1.57—Sep 9 · 04:00M. Sikon2.16M. Adamus1.57—Sep 9 · 04:50M. Sikon2.14M. Paszkiewicz1.58—Sep 9 · 06:25M. Sikon2.17O. Sokolowski1.56—Sep 9 · 07:10M. Sikon2.95M. Lebek1.31—Sep 9 · 08:00M. Sikon1.81J. Kaczmarek1.82—
M. Paszkiewicz
Sep 8 · 22:50M. Paszkiewicz2.40M. Lebek1.50—Sep 8 · 23:35M. Paszkiewicz2.70M. Tkocz1.37—Sep 9 · 01:35M. Paszkiewicz1.83O. Sokolowski1.83—Sep 9 · 02:20M. Paszkiewicz1.90M. Adamus1.80—Sep 9 · 03:10M. Paszkiewicz2.50M. Lebek1.46—Sep 9 · 04:50M. Paszkiewicz1.58M. Sikon2.14—Sep 9 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.59J. Kaczmarek2.12—Sep 9 · 07:35M. Paszkiewicz1.81O. Sokolowski1.82—Sep 9 · 08:20M. Paszkiewicz1.86M. Adamus1.78—
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