TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098845
Played Sep 9Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171214118119––
Mariusz Adamus
Away
1.58
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
1171214118119––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 0–4 Mariusz Adamus Mateusz Sikon has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:19What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (58%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1320 vs Adamus 1332
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 60% vs Adamus 40%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 40% vs Adamus 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +3 · Adamus -1
Sikon
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.20 / Adamus 1.58
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Adamus)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13098845
Sikon2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 85 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back13% 23 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 109
Adamus1.58
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 227 of 414
Up 2–0, closes it88% 86 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it72% 154 of 214
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSikon0wins
AwayAdamus4wins
2 of 4 to a deciderAdamus leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikonn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon0Adamus4n = 4Adamus took 4 of 4
S2Sikon1Adamus3n = 4Adamus took 3 of 4
S3Sikon3Adamus1n = 4Sikon took 3 of 4
S4Sikon1Adamus2n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSikonAdamusS − ABasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match33.841.8−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 377 vs 792 / 163337.4%48.5%141 / 377 vs 792 / 1633Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusSikon 2.20/Adamus 1.58
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.2%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 28 · 22:10M. Sikon—101111362M. Adamus—128611113
LJul 28 · 19:40M. Sikon—761191M. Adamus—11116113
LJun 23 · 10:10M. Sikon—7490M. Adamus—1111113
LJun 23 · 07:45M. Sikon—87111142M. Adamus—111186113
M. Sikon10
WSep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.0511912113M. Lebek1.296111061WSep 8 · 22:25M. Sikon3.35841111113M. Tkocz1.2511119692WSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111WSep 8 · 04:20J. Nowak1.8187111192M. Sikon1.83111148113LSep 8 · 03:30O. Jadach1.4711911113M. Sikon2.45611441LSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153WSep 8 · 24:50M. Sikon1.7611911113P. Kurek1.96811881LSep 8 · 24:10G. Marud1.5111115113M. Sikon2.28581171LSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.7599100K. Adamus1.361111123LSep 7 · 21:30M. Sikon2.808390O. Jadach1.391111113
M. Adamus10
WSep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41118871M. Adamus2.5581111113LSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662WSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.15511212102M. Adamus1.601171110123LSep 8 · 07:35M. Cesarz2.951111610113M. Adamus1.3587111272LSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100LSep 8 · 04:50R. Skotniczny1.57111111113M. Adamus2.16913461WSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113LSep 7 · 13:55W. Urban1.80111177113M. Adamus1.9167111162WSep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00116681M. Adamus1.7371111113
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