TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099089
Played Sep 9Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
3.05
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1169111210116––
Marian Lebek
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1169111210116––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 0–4 Marian Lebek Mateusz Sikon has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:24What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.29 (70%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1344 vs Lebek 1425
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 80% vs Lebek 40%
Sikon
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 50% vs Lebek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +4 · Lebek +1
Sikon
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 3.05 / Lebek 1.29
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Lebek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13099089
Sikon3.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 85 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back13% 23 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 109
Lebek1.29
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 238 of 389
Up 2–0, closes it96% 154 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it81% 206 of 254
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSikon0wins
AwayLebek4wins
Lebek leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikonn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLebek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon1Lebek3n = 4Lebek took 3 of 4
S2Sikon0Lebek4n = 4Lebek took 4 of 4
S3Sikon0Lebek4n = 4Lebek took 4 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away375%
These 4 meetings
MetricSikonLebekS − LBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match21.837.0−15.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 378 vs 841 / 144937.6%58%142 / 378 vs 841 / 1449Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekSikon 3.05/Lebek 1.29
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.1%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 2 · 05:10M. Sikon—185751M. Lebek—161111113
LSep 2 · 24:00M. Sikon—5650M. Lebek—1111113
LAug 7 · 08:20M. Sikon—4850M. Lebek—1111113
LAug 6 · 21:10M. Sikon—7570M. Lebek—1111113
M. Sikon10
WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891WSep 8 · 22:25M. Sikon3.35841111113M. Tkocz1.2511119692WSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111WSep 8 · 04:20J. Nowak1.8187111192M. Sikon1.83111148113LSep 8 · 03:30O. Jadach1.4711911113M. Sikon2.45611441LSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153WSep 8 · 24:50M. Sikon1.7611911113P. Kurek1.96811881LSep 8 · 24:10G. Marud1.5111115113M. Sikon2.28581171LSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.7599100K. Adamus1.361111123LSep 7 · 21:30M. Sikon2.808390O. Jadach1.391111113
M. Lebek10
WSep 9 · 24:25M. Lebek1.4511211113O. Sokolowski2.44611661LSep 8 · 22:50M. Lebek1.50141171262M. Paszkiewicz2.4012131110113LSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113LSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113WSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852
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