TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098917
Played Sep 9Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.45
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116211116116––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
2.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
116211116116––
H2H Marian Lebek 6–6 Oliwier Sokolowski Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1412 vs Sokolowski 1429
Sokolowski
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 20% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 30% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek -3 · Sokolowski +2
Lebek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.45 / Sokolowski 2.44
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Lebek)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13098917
Lebek1.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 238 of 389
Up 2–0, closes it96% 154 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it81% 206 of 254
Sokolowski2.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 108 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek5wins
AwaySokolowski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek62.5%5 of 8
AwaySokolowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek8Sokolowski2n = 10Lebek took 8 of 10
S2Lebek7Sokolowski3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S3Lebek2Sokolowski8n = 10Sokolowski took 8 of 10
S4Lebek4Sokolowski4n = 8split evenly
S5Lebek1Sokolowski2n = 3Sokolowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekSokolowskiL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.138.1+2.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime840 / 1448 vs 214 / 50458%42.5%840 / 1448 vs 214 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.45/Sokolowski 2.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.1%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 04:00M. Lebek—711781O. Sokolowski—11811113
WSep 3 · 24:00M. Lebek—111111113O. Sokolowski—661371
LAug 19 · 08:45M. Lebek—11481282O. Sokolowski—8111110113
LAug 13 · 07:35M. Lebek—5111181O. Sokolowski—11313113
WAug 13 · 01:35M. Lebek—127811113O. Sokolowski—101111572
WAug 12 · 03:10M. Lebek—1111113O. Sokolowski—6980
WJul 26 · 12:40M. Lebek—11128123O. Sokolowski—81011101
LJul 26 · 06:30M. Lebek—11177842O. Sokolowski—6151111113
WJun 26 · 04:50M. Lebek—1111113O. Sokolowski—6460
LJun 21 · 13:30M. Lebek—1196151O. Sokolowski—41111173
M. Lebek10
LSep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.0511912113M. Lebek1.296111061LSep 8 · 22:50M. Lebek1.50141171262M. Paszkiewicz2.4012131110113LSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113LSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113WSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661WSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.451481111102O. Sokolowski2.55161159123LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192WSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.6711711352M. Baron2.10411711113WSep 4 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.7311711123M. Adamus2.008119101
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