TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098272
Played Sep 8Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
141211137111210611
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
107 points played in total.
Set by set
141211137111210611
H2H Marian Lebek 30–18 Michal Paszkiewicz Michal Paszkiewicz has won 18 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:49What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-18 in 48
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 12 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1424 vs Paszkiewicz 1404
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 20% vs Paszkiewicz 60%
Paszkiewicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 40% vs Paszkiewicz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek -2 · Paszkiewicz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.50 / Paszkiewicz 2.40
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Lebek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13098272
Lebek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 238 of 389
Up 2–0, closes it96% 154 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it81% 206 of 254
Paszkiewicz2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek7wins
AwayPaszkiewicz3wins
Lebek leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek100%7 of 7
AwayPaszkiewicz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek7Paszkiewicz3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Lebek6Paszkiewicz4n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S3Lebek7Paszkiewicz3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S4Lebek3Paszkiewicz2n = 5Lebek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekPaszkiewiczL − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.827.1+6.7per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime840 / 1447 vs 429 / 80258.1%53.5%840 / 1447 vs 429 / 802Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.50/Paszkiewicz 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.3%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Paszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 06:45M. Lebek—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—5680
WSep 3 · 08:00M. Lebek—11811113M. Paszkiewicz—411461
LSep 3 · 01:10M. Lebek—1151141M. Paszkiewicz—13117113
WAug 7 · 06:00M. Lebek—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—2680
WAug 5 · 05:35M. Lebek—11911113M. Paszkiewicz—711971
WJul 31 · 04:50M. Lebek—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—5340
WJul 29 · 06:00M. Lebek—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—2670
LJul 24 · 06:45M. Lebek—5121031M. Paszkiewicz—111012113
LJul 17 · 05:35M. Lebek—7870M. Paszkiewicz—1111113
WJul 15 · 08:45M. Lebek—11117113M. Paszkiewicz—391181
M. Lebek10
WSep 9 · 24:25M. Lebek1.4511211113O. Sokolowski2.44611661LSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113LSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113WSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852LSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952
M. Paszkiewicz10
LSep 8 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.3711511113M. Paszkiewicz2.70911931LSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113LSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lebek
Sep 9 · 01:10M. Lebek1.29M. Sikon3.05—Sep 9 · 02:00M. Lebek1.92M. Tkocz1.72—Sep 9 · 03:10M. Lebek1.46M. Paszkiewicz2.50—Sep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.32J. Kaczmarek2.90—Sep 9 · 06:00M. Lebek1.48M. Adamus2.36—Sep 9 · 07:10M. Lebek1.31M. Sikon2.95—Sep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45O. Sokolowski2.43—Sep 9 · 22:00M. Lebek—P. Adamus——
M. Paszkiewicz
Sep 9 · 01:35M. Paszkiewicz1.83O. Sokolowski1.83—Sep 9 · 02:20M. Paszkiewicz1.90M. Adamus1.80—Sep 9 · 03:10M. Paszkiewicz2.50M. Lebek1.46—Sep 9 · 04:50M. Paszkiewicz1.58M. Sikon2.14—Sep 9 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.60J. Kaczmarek2.10—Sep 9 · 07:35M. Paszkiewicz1.81O. Sokolowski1.82—Sep 9 · 08:20M. Paszkiewicz1.86M. Adamus1.78—
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