TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098846
Played Sep 8Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.37
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119511119113––
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
2.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
119511119113––
H2H Marek Tkocz 23–4 Michal Paszkiewicz Michal Paszkiewicz has won 4 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (66%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-4 in 27
Tkocz
Correct
gap of 19 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1402 vs Paszkiewicz 1415
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 40% vs Paszkiewicz 60%
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 30% vs Paszkiewicz 50%
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz -3 · Paszkiewicz +1
Tkocz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.37 / Paszkiewicz 2.70
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Tkocz)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13098846
Tkocz1.37
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 316 of 468
Up 2–0, closes it95% 178 of 187
Up 1–0, closes it85% 260 of 307
Paszkiewicz2.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkocz8wins
AwayPaszkiewicz2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTkocz leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkocz100%5 of 5
AwayPaszkiewicz40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkocz5Paszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S2Tkocz9Paszkiewicz1n = 10Tkocz took 9 of 10
S3Tkocz6Paszkiewicz4n = 10Tkocz took 6 of 10
S4Tkocz3Paszkiewicz3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkoczPaszkiewiczT − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.230.0+7.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime761 / 1140 vs 430 / 80366.8%53.6%761 / 1140 vs 430 / 803Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.37/Paszkiewicz 2.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 09:30M. Tkocz—2970M. Paszkiewicz—1111113
WJul 29 · 03:10M. Tkocz—111112113M. Paszkiewicz—1371021
WJul 24 · 05:10M. Tkocz—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—8790
WJul 8 · 08:20M. Tkocz—81111123M. Paszkiewicz—1137101
LJul 3 · 06:00M. Tkocz—811481M. Paszkiewicz—11911113
WJun 5 · 02:20M. Tkocz—111196113M. Paszkiewicz—29111172
WMay 8 · 06:25M. Tkocz—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—3530
WMay 8 · 02:45M. Tkocz—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—7510
WMay 6 · 08:25M. Tkocz—11119123M. Paszkiewicz—7311101
WApr 23 · 23:10M. Tkocz—711116113M. Paszkiewicz—11851182
M. Tkocz10
LSep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41118871M. Adamus2.5581111113LSep 8 · 22:25M. Sikon3.35841111113M. Tkocz1.2511119692LSep 8 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.451481111102O. Sokolowski2.55161159123LSep 8 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.3811712552S. Juzek2.808111011113WSep 8 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.471111113R. Gajda2.508870WSep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.901011116113K. Juszczyk1.7512381132WSep 8 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.209380M. Tkocz1.551111113LSep 8 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.6091141142P. Kaczynski2.20118118113LSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590
M. Paszkiewicz10
LSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661WSep 8 · 22:50M. Lebek1.50141171262M. Paszkiewicz2.4012131110113LSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113
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