TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100369
Played Sep 9Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.56
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
117119118––––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 3–9 Oliwier Sokolowski Mateusz Sikon has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:58What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (58%)
Sokolowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Sokolowski
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1398 vs Sokolowski 1391
Sikon
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 80% vs Sokolowski 40%
Sikon
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 70% vs Sokolowski 50%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +2 · Sokolowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.17 / Sokolowski 1.56
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Sokolowski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13100369
Sikon2.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 91 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back14% 24 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 111
Sokolowski1.56
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 77 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it80% 56 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon2wins
AwaySokolowski8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSokolowski leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon50%2 of 4
AwaySokolowski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S2Sikon4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S3Sikon6Sokolowski4n = 10Sikon took 6 of 10
S4Sikon0Sokolowski7n = 7Sokolowski took 7 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonSokolowskiSikon − SokolowskiBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.2−4.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 383 vs 216 / 51038.1%42.4%146 / 383 vs 216 / 510Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSikon 2.17/Sokolowski 1.56
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:25M. Sikon—1111113O. Sokolowski—7980
LSep 9 · 02:45M. Sikon—461181O. Sokolowski—11114113
WAug 4 · 23:45M. Sikon—1111133O. Sokolowski—87110
LAug 4 · 15:50M. Sikon—5860O. Sokolowski—1111113
LJul 29 · 02:35M. Sikon—8111313132O. Sokolowski—1191115153
LJul 28 · 18:10M. Sikon—91412111O. Sokolowski—111610133
LJul 6 · 09:00M. Sikon—114961O. Sokolowski—21111113
LJul 6 · 04:30M. Sikon—117261O. Sokolowski—81111113
LJun 24 · 14:40M. Sikon—811671O. Sokolowski—11911113
LJun 24 · 06:05M. Sikon—131313101O. Sokolowski—151511123
M. Sikon10
WSep 9 · 04:50M. Sikon2.00111110113M. Paszkiewicz1.71591261WSep 9 · 04:00M. Adamus1.57971191M. Sikon2.1611116113LSep 9 · 02:45M. Sikon2.00461181O. Sokolowski1.7011114113WSep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.0511912113M. Lebek1.296111061WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891WSep 8 · 22:25M. Sikon3.35841111113M. Tkocz1.2511119692WSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111WSep 8 · 04:20J. Nowak1.8187111192M. Sikon1.83111148113LSep 8 · 03:30O. Jadach1.4711911113M. Sikon2.45611441LSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 9 · 05:10M. Adamus1.8311611123O. Sokolowski1.866114101LSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 9 · 02:45M. Sikon2.00461181O. Sokolowski1.7011114113WSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661LSep 9 · 24:25M. Lebek1.4511211113O. Sokolowski2.44611661WSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.451481111102O. Sokolowski2.55161159123LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123
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