TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100381
Played Sep 9Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1166111141210––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
1166111141210––
H2H Mariusz Adamus 11–12 Oliwier Sokolowski Mariusz Adamus has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Sokolowski beat Adamus 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:02What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-12 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1355 vs Sokolowski 1406
Sokolowski
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 40% vs Sokolowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokolowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.83 / Sokolowski 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sokolowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13100381
Adamus1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 229 of 420
Up 2–0, closes it88% 87 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it72% 156 of 216
Sokolowski1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 110 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus3wins
AwaySokolowski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSokolowski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus50%2 of 4
AwaySokolowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S2Adamus3Sokolowski7n = 10Sokolowski took 7 of 10
S3Adamus6Sokolowski4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S4Adamus2Sokolowski5n = 7Sokolowski took 5 of 7
S5Adamus1Sokolowski2n = 3Sokolowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusSokolowskiA − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.437.9−3.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime795 / 1636 vs 216 / 50948.6%42.4%795 / 1636 vs 216 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiAdamus 1.83/Sokolowski 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 05:10M. Adamus—11611123O. Sokolowski—6114101
LSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus—88111152O. Sokolowski—111155113
LSep 4 · 18:55M. Adamus—8119101O. Sokolowski—11711123
LAug 14 · 12:45M. Adamus—3390O. Sokolowski—1111113
LAug 14 · 10:20M. Adamus—6911111O. Sokolowski—11118133
WAug 13 · 05:30M. Adamus—1111113O. Sokolowski—4980
LAug 12 · 23:10M. Adamus—8580O. Sokolowski—1111113
WAug 12 · 07:10M. Adamus—611114113O. Sokolowski—11971182
LJul 28 · 21:20M. Adamus—11711792O. Sokolowski—611711113
LJul 28 · 15:25M. Adamus—116661O. Sokolowski—91111113
M. Adamus10
LSep 9 · 04:00M. Adamus1.57971191M. Sikon2.1611116113WSep 9 · 02:20M. Adamus1.851111113M. Paszkiewicz1.854940WSep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41118871M. Adamus2.5581111113LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891LSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662WSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.15511212102M. Adamus1.601171110123LSep 8 · 07:35M. Cesarz2.951111610113M. Adamus1.3587111272LSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100LSep 8 · 04:50R. Skotniczny1.57111111113M. Adamus2.16913461
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 9 · 02:45M. Sikon2.00461181O. Sokolowski1.7011114113WSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661LSep 9 · 24:25M. Lebek1.4511211113O. Sokolowski2.44611661WSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.451481111102O. Sokolowski2.55161159123LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192
Upcoming Matches
M. Adamus
O. Sokolowski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.