TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098017
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
2.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811118117––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.58
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
119811118117––
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 8–3 Oliwier Sokolowski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (58%)
Sokolowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Kaczmarek
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1267 vs Sokolowski 1438
Sokolowski
Wrong
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 20% vs Sokolowski 80%
Sokolowski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 20% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek +1 · Sokolowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 2.14 / Sokolowski 1.58
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Sokolowski)+2.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13098017
Kaczmarek2.14
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 165 of 504
Down 0–1, comes back18% 58 of 325
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 181
Sokolowski1.58
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 75 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek7wins
AwaySokolowski3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKaczmarek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarek100%7 of 7
AwaySokolowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek7Sokolowski3n = 10Kaczmarek took 7 of 10
S2Kaczmarek3Sokolowski7n = 10Sokolowski took 7 of 10
S3Kaczmarek5Sokolowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Kaczmarek7Sokolowski2n = 9Kaczmarek took 7 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekSokolowskiK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.337.0+1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 1294 vs 216 / 50736.5%42.6%472 / 1294 vs 216 / 507Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiKaczmarek 2.14/Sokolowski 1.58
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.6%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—11711123O. Sokolowski—7113101
LAug 14 · 17:05J. Kaczmarek—711641O. Sokolowski—11911113
WAug 14 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek—1191511113O. Sokolowski—91117672
LAug 13 · 03:30J. Kaczmarek—4960O. Sokolowski—1111113
WAug 12 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek—11611113O. Sokolowski—911981
WJul 27 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek—13513113O. Sokolowski—11111191
LJun 29 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek—881171O. Sokolowski—11116113
WJun 29 · 03:50J. Kaczmarek—111111113O. Sokolowski—813681
WFeb 14 · 05:25J. Kaczmarek—11118113O. Sokolowski—691161
WJan 28 · 18:05J. Kaczmarek—11115113O. Sokolowski—671151
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.45111211113M. Cesarz2.45714971LSep 8 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.70159441R. Skotniczny1.37131111113LSep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.86511761A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011711113LSep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.20116821K. Hetnar1.2791111113LSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113LSep 7 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.2011181241P. Przewlocki1.6182014113LSep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00116681M. Adamus1.7371111113LSep 7 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek4.008550K. Hetnar1.221111113WSep 7 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek2.101110911113W. Urban1.6761211772LSep 7 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek1.806111051R. Niemiec1.9111412113
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 9 · 02:45M. Sikon2.00461181O. Sokolowski1.7011114113WSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661LSep 9 · 24:25M. Lebek1.4511211113O. Sokolowski2.44611661WSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.451481111102O. Sokolowski2.55161159123LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192WSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113
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