TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099472
Played Sep 9Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411611114811––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:32 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
411611114811––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 2–8 Oliwier Sokolowski Mateusz Sikon has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Sokolowski
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1358 vs Sokolowski 1428
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 100% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sikon
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 60% vs Sokolowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +5 · Sokolowski +1
Sikon
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.00 / Sokolowski 1.70
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Sokolowski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13099472
Sikon2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 85 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back13% 23 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 109
Sokolowski1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 75 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon2wins
AwaySokolowski8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSokolowski leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon33.3%1 of 3
AwaySokolowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon3Sokolowski7n = 10Sokolowski took 7 of 10
S2Sikon4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S3Sikon5Sokolowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Sikon0Sokolowski7n = 7Sokolowski took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonSokolowskiSikon − SokolowskiBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.742.2−6.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 379 vs 215 / 50637.7%42.5%143 / 379 vs 215 / 506Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSikon 2.00/Sokolowski 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 23:45M. Sikon—1111133O. Sokolowski—87110
LAug 4 · 15:50M. Sikon—5860O. Sokolowski—1111113
LJul 29 · 02:35M. Sikon—8111313132O. Sokolowski—1191115153
LJul 28 · 18:10M. Sikon—91412111O. Sokolowski—111610133
LJul 6 · 09:00M. Sikon—114961O. Sokolowski—21111113
LJul 6 · 04:30M. Sikon—117261O. Sokolowski—81111113
LJun 24 · 14:40M. Sikon—811671O. Sokolowski—11911113
LJun 24 · 06:05M. Sikon—131313101O. Sokolowski—151511123
LJun 23 · 14:40M. Sikon—8680O. Sokolowski—1111113
WJun 23 · 06:05M. Sikon—111125113O. Sokolowski—117101192
M. Sikon10
WSep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.0511912113M. Lebek1.296111061WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891WSep 8 · 22:25M. Sikon3.35841111113M. Tkocz1.2511119692WSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111WSep 8 · 04:20J. Nowak1.8187111192M. Sikon1.83111148113LSep 8 · 03:30O. Jadach1.4711911113M. Sikon2.45611441LSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153WSep 8 · 24:50M. Sikon1.7611911113P. Kurek1.96811881LSep 8 · 24:10G. Marud1.5111115113M. Sikon2.28581171LSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.7599100K. Adamus1.361111123
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661LSep 9 · 24:25M. Lebek1.4511211113O. Sokolowski2.44611661WSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.451481111102O. Sokolowski2.55161159123LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192WSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.6711711352M. Baron2.10411711113
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