TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099706
Played Sep 9Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711116911––
Mateusz Sikon
Away
2.16
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
911711116911––
H2H Mariusz Adamus 5–2 Mateusz Sikon Mateusz Sikon has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Sikon beat Adamus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1352 vs Sikon 1349
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Sikon 80%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Sikon 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +2 · Sikon -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.57 / Sikon 2.16
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Adamus)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13099706
Adamus1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 227 of 414
Up 2–0, closes it88% 86 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it72% 154 of 214
Sikon2.16
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 85 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back13% 23 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwaySikon2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderAdamus leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus83.3%5 of 6
AwaySikonn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Sikon1n = 7Adamus took 6 of 7
S2Adamus5Sikon2n = 7Adamus took 5 of 7
S3Adamus2Sikon5n = 7Sikon took 5 of 7
S4Adamus3Sikon2n = 5Adamus took 3 of 5
S5Adamus2Sikon1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricAdamusSikonA − SBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match42.037.6+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime794 / 1635 vs 143 / 38048.6%37.6%794 / 1635 vs 143 / 380Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.57/Sikon 2.16
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.1%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 9 · 24:00M. Adamus—714891M. Sikon—111211113
WSep 1 · 04:20M. Adamus—1311143M. Sikon—116120
LAug 31 · 18:45M. Adamus—117111572M. Sikon—6111313113
WJul 28 · 22:10M. Adamus—128611113M. Sikon—101111362
WJul 28 · 19:40M. Adamus—11116113M. Sikon—761191
WJun 23 · 10:10M. Adamus—1111113M. Sikon—7490
WJun 23 · 07:45M. Adamus—111186113M. Sikon—87111142
M. Adamus10
WSep 9 · 02:20M. Adamus1.851111113M. Paszkiewicz1.854940WSep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41118871M. Adamus2.5581111113LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891LSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662WSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.15511212102M. Adamus1.601171110123LSep 8 · 07:35M. Cesarz2.951111610113M. Adamus1.3587111272LSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100LSep 8 · 04:50R. Skotniczny1.57111111113M. Adamus2.16913461WSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113
M. Sikon10
LSep 9 · 02:45M. Sikon2.00461181O. Sokolowski1.7011114113WSep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.0511912113M. Lebek1.296111061WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891WSep 8 · 22:25M. Sikon3.35841111113M. Tkocz1.2511119692WSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111WSep 8 · 04:20J. Nowak1.8187111192M. Sikon1.83111148113LSep 8 · 03:30O. Jadach1.4711911113M. Sikon2.45611441LSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153WSep 8 · 24:50M. Sikon1.7611911113P. Kurek1.96811881LSep 8 · 24:10G. Marud1.5111115113M. Sikon2.28581171
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