TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099474
Played Sep 9Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119114––––
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:32 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
114119114––––
H2H Mariusz Adamus 13–13 Michal Paszkiewicz Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1335 vs Paszkiewicz 1392
Paszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Paszkiewicz 40%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 40% vs Paszkiewicz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Paszkiewicz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Paszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.85 / Paszkiewicz 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Paszkiewicz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13099474
Adamus1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Paszkiewicz1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayPaszkiewicz5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus62.5%5 of 8
AwayPaszkiewiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus8Paszkiewicz2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Adamus5Paszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus4Paszkiewicz6n = 10Paszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S4Adamus3Paszkiewicz4n = 7Paszkiewicz took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusPaszkiewiczA − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.934.8+1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime793 / 1635 vs 430 / 80548.5%53.4%793 / 1635 vs 430 / 805Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaszkiewiczAdamus 1.85/Paszkiewicz 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 03:50M. Adamus—11511113M. Paszkiewicz—611951
LJul 8 · 05:35M. Adamus—1161181M. Paszkiewicz—51113113
LApr 11 · 08:00M. Adamus—1151381M. Paszkiewicz—81115113
WApr 1 · 05:35M. Adamus—11117113M. Paszkiewicz—791181
LMar 27 · 07:35M. Adamus—9860M. Paszkiewicz—1111113
LMar 13 · 09:20M. Adamus—11119242M. Paszkiewicz—831111113
LJan 31 · 05:00M. Adamus—9111071M. Paszkiewicz—11912113
WJan 22 · 05:00M. Adamus—111111113M. Paszkiewicz—613961
WJan 20 · 05:00M. Adamus—1112113M. Paszkiewicz—91050
WDec 10 · 08:10M. Adamus—1111113M. Paszkiewicz—5590
M. Adamus10
WSep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41118871M. Adamus2.5581111113LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891LSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662WSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.15511212102M. Adamus1.601171110123LSep 8 · 07:35M. Cesarz2.951111610113M. Adamus1.3587111272LSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100LSep 8 · 04:50R. Skotniczny1.57111111113M. Adamus2.16913461WSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113LSep 7 · 13:55W. Urban1.80111177113M. Adamus1.9167111162
M. Paszkiewicz10
LSep 9 · 03:10M. Lebek1.4611129113M. Paszkiewicz2.506101161LSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661LSep 8 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.3711511113M. Paszkiewicz2.70911931WSep 8 · 22:50M. Lebek1.50141171262M. Paszkiewicz2.4012131110113LSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950
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