TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100373
Played Sep 9Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210119––––
Mariusz Adamus
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1181210119––––
H2H Marian Lebek 39–33 Mariusz Adamus Mariusz Adamus has won 33 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-33 in 72
Lebek
Correct
gap of 6 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1432 vs Adamus 1343
Lebek
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 60% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 40% vs Adamus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek +2 · Adamus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.70 / Adamus 1.95
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Lebek)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13100373
Lebek1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 236 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it96% 153 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it81% 205 of 254
Adamus1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 180 of 434
Down 0–1, comes back23% 52 of 226
Down 0–2, comes back10% 12 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek7wins
AwayAdamus3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLebek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek100%7 of 7
AwayAdamus100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek7Adamus3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Lebek7Adamus3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S3Lebek6Adamus4n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S4Lebek4Adamus4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekAdamusL − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.435.0+3.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime844 / 1454 vs 795 / 163558.1%48.6%844 / 1454 vs 795 / 1635Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.70/Adamus 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.6%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:00M. Lebek—1112113M. Adamus—81090
LSep 8 · 22:00M. Lebek—91111662M. Adamus—116711113
WAug 28 · 08:00M. Lebek—11611113M. Adamus—511991
WAug 21 · 02:20M. Lebek—11117113M. Adamus—481171
LAug 13 · 08:20M. Lebek—511671M. Adamus—11611113
WAug 13 · 02:20M. Lebek—1110113113M. Adamus—81261152
WAug 12 · 04:50M. Lebek—111110113M. Adamus—681281
WJul 31 · 07:10M. Lebek—1111123M. Adamus—89100
LJul 30 · 08:50M. Lebek—611891M. Adamus—11811113
WJul 8 · 03:35M. Lebek—11713113M. Adamus—3111151
M. Lebek10
WSep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.321111113J. Kaczmarek2.906590WSep 9 · 03:10M. Lebek1.4611129113M. Paszkiewicz2.506101161LSep 9 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.72711115113M. Lebek1.9211851172LSep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.0511912113M. Lebek1.296111061WSep 9 · 24:25M. Lebek1.4511211113O. Sokolowski2.44611661LSep 8 · 22:50M. Lebek1.50141171262M. Paszkiewicz2.4012131110113LSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113LSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181
M. Adamus10
WSep 9 · 05:10M. Adamus1.8311611123O. Sokolowski1.866114101LSep 9 · 04:00M. Adamus1.57971191M. Sikon2.1611116113WSep 9 · 02:20M. Adamus1.851111113M. Paszkiewicz1.854940WSep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41118871M. Adamus2.5581111113LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891LSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662WSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.15511212102M. Adamus1.601171110123LSep 8 · 07:35M. Cesarz2.951111610113M. Adamus1.3587111272LSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100
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