TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104135
Played Sep 9Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
2.07
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
3111181012119511
Mariusz Baron
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:10 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeMariusz Baron to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
3111181012119511
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 4–16 Mariusz Baron Pawel Slosarczyk has won 4 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (56%)
Baron
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-16 in 20
Baron
Correct
gap of 12 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1250 vs Baron 1310
Baron
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 60% vs Baron 20%
Slosarczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 50% vs Baron 30%
Slosarczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk -1 · Baron -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Baron) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 2.07 / Baron 1.62
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Baron)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13104135
Slosarczyk2.07
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 103 of 325
Down 0–1, comes back14% 27 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 117
Baron1.62
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 220 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it83% 103 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it70% 156 of 224
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk3wins
AwayBaron7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBaron leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk66.7%2 of 3
AwayBaron85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk3Baron7n = 10Baron took 7 of 10
S2Slosarczyk6Baron4n = 10Slosarczyk took 6 of 10
S3Slosarczyk5Baron5n = 10split evenly
S4Slosarczyk4Baron4n = 8split evenly
S5Slosarczyk1Baron4n = 5Baron took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykBaronS − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.443.2−3.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 814 vs 874 / 181238.2%48.2%311 / 814 vs 874 / 1812Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaronSlosarczyk 2.07/Baron 1.62
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Baron · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 03:05P. Slosarczyk—11911113M. Baron—611791
LAug 9 · 21:05P. Slosarczyk—61117652M. Baron—1191511113
LJul 30 · 23:10P. Slosarczyk—812881M. Baron—111011113
WJul 30 · 17:10P. Slosarczyk—791212113M. Baron—1111101082
LJul 20 · 01:55P. Slosarczyk—6880M. Baron—1111113
LJul 19 · 19:55P. Slosarczyk—941131M. Baron—11116113
LJun 18 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk—51161192M. Baron—114113113
WJun 16 · 21:00P. Slosarczyk—1511113M. Baron—13590
LJun 16 · 15:25P. Slosarczyk—11137872M. Baron—9111111113
LApr 30 · 04:50P. Slosarczyk—101561232M. Baron—12131110113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113WSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 05:10K. Juszczyk1.309580P. Slosarczyk3.101111113LSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111WSep 5 · 17:05M. Lach1.303660P. Slosarczyk3.201111113LSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.8091111622P. Slosarczyk1.91118911113LSep 5 · 13:30J. Jesiek1.60811117113P. Slosarczyk2.1511381172
M. Baron10
LSep 9 · 21:35M. Baron1.66411391A. Burkacki2.0111511113WSep 9 · 20:20W. Jozala2.604850M. Baron1.411111113LSep 9 · 19:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.0911119113M. Baron1.61871171LSep 9 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.55471114113M. Baron2.30111151262LSep 9 · 16:50S. Krupa1.6711814113M. Baron2.005111281WSep 9 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.5671141152M. Baron2.17118113113LSep 8 · 17:05M. Baron2.358980J. Pruszkowski1.521111113WSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241LSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113LSep 8 · 12:45M. Baron2.609124101K. Slawinski1.42111011123
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