TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103058
Played Sep 9Finished
Waldemar Jozala
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811511––––
Mariusz Baron
Away
1.41
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWaldemar Jozala to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
411811511––––
H2H Waldemar Jozala 9–9 Mariusz Baron Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:38What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Baron
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jozala 1189 vs Baron 1313
Baron
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jozala 40% vs Baron 20%
Jozala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jozala 40% vs Baron 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jozala -2 · Baron -3
Baron
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Baron) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJozala 2.60 / Baron 1.41
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Baron)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13103058
Jozala2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 17 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Baron1.41
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 220 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it83% 103 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it70% 156 of 224
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJozala5wins
AwayBaron5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJozala80%4 of 5
AwayBaron80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jozala5Baron5n = 10split evenly
S2Jozala3Baron7n = 10Baron took 7 of 10
S3Jozala4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S4Jozala3Baron1n = 4Jozala took 3 of 4
S5Jozala2Baron1n = 3Jozala took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJozalaBaronJ − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.234.7−2.5per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJozalaBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 314 vs 873 / 181037.6%48.2%118 / 314 vs 873 / 1810Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaronJozala 2.60/Baron 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.6%
Baron · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LDec 17 · 18:10W. Jozala—11611792M. Baron—411611113
LOct 15 · 20:20W. Jozala—81060M. Baron—1112113
LSep 30 · 16:20W. Jozala—51090M. Baron—1112113
WAug 27 · 17:10W. Jozala—11411113M. Baron—811961
LAug 12 · 15:35W. Jozala—5820M. Baron—1111113
WJul 31 · 12:20W. Jozala—148811113M. Baron—121111642
WJul 31 · 08:20W. Jozala—711611113M. Baron—11911952
WJul 24 · 18:00W. Jozala—1111113M. Baron—9990
LMay 23 · 13:30W. Jozala—4640M. Baron—1111113
WFeb 27 · 14:55W. Jozala—1111113M. Baron—8660
W. Jozala10
LSep 9 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.5581114113W. Jozala2.251131271LSep 9 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.311111113W. Jozala2.959760WSep 9 · 17:10W. Jozala1.951111113A. Ruszkiewicz1.759050LSep 9 · 16:00W. Jozala2.80119571S. Krupa1.3561111113WSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:35W. Jozala2.90511771S. Krupa1.3511811113LSep 6 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.331111113W. Jozala2.957540WSep 6 · 17:10R. Ogon2.60161171W. Jozala1.4211119113LSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112WSep 2 · 20:00W. Jozala2.2081112113A. Ruszkiewicz1.601141051
M. Baron10
LSep 9 · 19:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.0911119113M. Baron1.61871171LSep 9 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.55471114113M. Baron2.30111151262LSep 9 · 16:50S. Krupa1.6711814113M. Baron2.005111281WSep 9 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.5671141152M. Baron2.17118113113LSep 8 · 17:05M. Baron2.358980J. Pruszkowski1.521111113WSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241LSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113LSep 8 · 12:45M. Baron2.609124101K. Slawinski1.42111011123LSep 8 · 11:30M. Baron1.739111631W. Buczynski2.0011918113WSep 8 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.36871171M. Baron2.7511118113
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