TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099467
Played Sep 9Finished
Mariusz Koczyba
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111131412117––
Waldemar Jozala
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 72.1% is still 72.1%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
72.1%
72.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
8111131412117––
H2H Mariusz Koczyba 27–0 Waldemar Jozala Waldemar Jozala has won 0 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Koczyba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-0 in 27
Koczyba
Correct
gap of 27 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koczyba 1277 vs Jozala 1200
Koczyba
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koczyba 40% vs Jozala 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koczyba 20% vs Jozala 40%
Jozala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koczyba +1 · Jozala -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Koczyba) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koczyba form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoczyba 1.55 / Jozala 2.25
Signal prob.66% / 35%
Edge (Koczyba)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13099467
Koczyba1.55
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 333 of 507
Up 2–0, closes it95% 176 of 186
Up 1–0, closes it82% 238 of 291
Jozala2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 17 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoczyba10wins
AwayJozala0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKoczyba leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoczyba100%9 of 9
AwayJozalan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koczyba9Jozala1n = 10Koczyba took 9 of 10
S2Koczyba8Jozala2n = 10Koczyba took 8 of 10
S3Koczyba7Jozala3n = 10Koczyba took 7 of 10
S4Koczyba5Jozala1n = 6Koczyba took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoczybaJozalaK − JBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.829.9+9.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoczybaJozalaBasisWin rate · lifetime859 / 1314 vs 118 / 31565.4%37.5%859 / 1314 vs 118 / 315Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaKoczyba 1.55/Jozala 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koczyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 30 · 17:35M. Koczyba—11711113W. Jozala—511491
WApr 29 · 17:35M. Koczyba—1111113W. Jozala—5780
WApr 22 · 15:35M. Koczyba—1111113W. Jozala—1980
WApr 8 · 16:25M. Koczyba—13118123W. Jozala—11511101
WApr 1 · 16:25M. Koczyba—111011113W. Jozala—612961
WMar 25 · 16:35M. Koczyba—1111113W. Jozala—5650
WMar 18 · 17:25M. Koczyba—111259143W. Jozala—9101111122
WMar 11 · 17:25M. Koczyba—12139113W. Jozala—10111161
WMar 4 · 17:25M. Koczyba—1111113W. Jozala—8850
WFeb 25 · 17:50M. Koczyba—101111113W. Jozala—129581
M. Koczyba10
LSep 9 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.70851191S. Krupa2.0011117113WSep 9 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.55471114113M. Baron2.30111151262LSep 9 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.10761211113M. Koczyba1.60111110892WSep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.331111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.107980LSep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57143151G. Marud2.25121111113LSep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.7351111952G. Jurowicz2.00117311113LSep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80511661P. Adamus1.9111811113LSep 8 · 22:10L. Oracz1.8011611113M. Koczyba1.91411961LSep 8 · 21:20M. Koczyba1.36931113112J. Nowak3.001111411133LSep 8 · 19:40M. Koczyba1.808880L. Oracz1.911111113
W. Jozala10
LSep 9 · 20:20W. Jozala2.604850M. Baron1.411111113LSep 9 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.311111113W. Jozala2.959760WSep 9 · 17:10W. Jozala1.951111113A. Ruszkiewicz1.759050LSep 9 · 16:00W. Jozala2.80119571S. Krupa1.3561111113WSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:35W. Jozala2.90511771S. Krupa1.3511811113LSep 6 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.331111113W. Jozala2.957540WSep 6 · 17:10R. Ogon2.60161171W. Jozala1.4211119113LSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112WSep 2 · 20:00W. Jozala2.2081112113A. Ruszkiewicz1.601141051
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