TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099469
Played Sep 9Finished
Wojciech Pytlas
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7116111210118119
Mariusz Koczyba
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
7116111210118119
H2H Wojciech Pytlas 38–40 Mariusz Koczyba Wojciech Pytlas has won 38 of their 78 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Koczyba
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-40 in 78
Koczyba
Wrong
gap of 2 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytlas 1370 vs Koczyba 1272
Pytlas
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytlas 40% vs Koczyba 20%
Pytlas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytlas 30% vs Koczyba 10%
Pytlas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytlas -1 · Koczyba +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Koczyba) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koczyba form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytlas 2.10 / Koczyba 1.60
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Koczyba)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13099469
Pytlas2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 55 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back29% 24 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Koczyba1.60
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 333 of 507
Up 2–0, closes it95% 176 of 186
Up 1–0, closes it82% 238 of 291
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytlas5wins
AwayKoczyba5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytlas50%2 of 4
AwayKoczyba50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytlas4Koczyba6n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S2Pytlas4Koczyba6n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S3Pytlas4Koczyba6n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S4Pytlas4Koczyba2n = 6Pytlas took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytlasKoczybaP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.535.8−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytlasKoczybaBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 741 vs 858 / 131252.8%65.4%391 / 741 vs 858 / 1312Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaPytlas 2.10/Koczyba 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pytlas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 07:10W. Pytlas—171110113M. Koczyba—1591271
LAug 19 · 15:35W. Pytlas—9370M. Koczyba—1111113
LAug 9 · 08:00W. Pytlas—1181091M. Koczyba—91112113
WJul 29 · 17:35W. Pytlas—1112113M. Koczyba—81070
WJul 28 · 16:00W. Pytlas—51111123M. Koczyba—1125101
LJul 26 · 08:00W. Pytlas—8560M. Koczyba—1111113
WJul 22 · 19:10W. Pytlas—41111113M. Koczyba—111891
LJul 15 · 16:25W. Pytlas—129961M. Koczyba—101111113
LJul 12 · 04:50W. Pytlas—3640M. Koczyba—1111113
WJul 9 · 17:35W. Pytlas—1081111113M. Koczyba—12119882
W. Pytlas10
LSep 9 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.5671141152M. Baron2.17118113113WSep 8 · 20:45W. Pytlas1.83151311113P. Kaczynski1.831711531WSep 8 · 19:10W. Pytlas1.6511811113S. Juzek2.10511881LSep 8 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.7311114452R. Gajda2.00971111113LSep 8 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.209380M. Tkocz1.551111113WSep 8 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.831111113K. Juszczyk1.816480LSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113LSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113LSep 6 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.57712381K. Juszczyk2.25111011113LSep 6 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.30481191G. Sawicki3.1011119113
M. Koczyba10
WSep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.331111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.107980LSep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57143151G. Marud2.25121111113LSep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.7351111952G. Jurowicz2.00117311113LSep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80511661P. Adamus1.9111811113LSep 8 · 22:10L. Oracz1.8011611113M. Koczyba1.91411961LSep 8 · 21:20M. Koczyba1.36931113112J. Nowak3.001111411133LSep 8 · 19:40M. Koczyba1.808880L. Oracz1.911111113LSep 8 · 18:30M. Koczyba1.4413560G. Jurowicz2.631511113LSep 8 · 17:20M. Koczyba1.73811491P. Adamus2.0011911113LSep 8 · 16:15G. Marud2.2511511113M. Koczyba1.57411411
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