TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104122
Played Sep 10Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.35
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115117411811117
Adrian Burkacki
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
115117411811117
H2H Marian Lebek 28–17 Adrian Burkacki Adrian Burkacki has won 17 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (67%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-17 in 45
Lebek
Correct
gap of 11 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1400 vs Burkacki 1311
Lebek
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 40% vs Burkacki 60%
Burkacki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 50% vs Burkacki 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek -3 · Burkacki -1
Lebek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.35 / Burkacki 2.80
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Lebek)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13104122
Lebek1.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 236 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it96% 153 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it81% 205 of 254
Burkacki2.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek6wins
AwayBurkacki4wins
Lebek leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek85.7%6 of 7
AwayBurkacki100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek7Burkacki3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Lebek5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S3Lebek6Burkacki4n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S4Lebek3Burkacki3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekBurkackiL − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.630.8+3.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime845 / 1458 vs 124 / 34558%35.9%845 / 1458 vs 124 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.35/Burkacki 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.1%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek—1111113A. Burkacki—6690
LSep 3 · 02:45M. Lebek—871171A. Burkacki—11118113
WAug 28 · 06:45M. Lebek—11612113A. Burkacki—9111021
LAug 28 · 02:45M. Lebek—1161271A. Burkacki—81114113
WAug 20 · 05:35M. Lebek—11119113A. Burkacki—371161
LAug 19 · 23:35M. Lebek—6950A. Burkacki—1111113
WAug 13 · 04:30M. Lebek—11119123A. Burkacki—7711101
LAug 12 · 21:10M. Lebek—881161A. Burkacki—11117113
WAug 6 · 08:20M. Lebek—1111113A. Burkacki—5890
WAug 6 · 02:20M. Lebek—1111113A. Burkacki—7150
M. Lebek10
WSep 10 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk2.903680M. Lebek1.331111113LSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113LSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680LSep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45117691O. Sokolowski2.4371111113WSep 9 · 07:10M. Lebek1.7051111113M. Sikon2.00115491WSep 9 · 06:00M. Lebek1.701112113M. Adamus1.9581090WSep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.321111113J. Kaczmarek2.906590WSep 9 · 03:10M. Lebek1.4611129113M. Paszkiewicz2.506101161LSep 9 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.72711115113M. Lebek1.9211851172LSep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.0511912113M. Lebek1.296111061
A. Burkacki10
LSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 21:35M. Baron1.66411391A. Burkacki2.0111511113WSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.151181110122A. Burkacki1.60811912143WSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100LSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek1.401111113A. Burkacki2.656690LSep 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.711111113A. Burkacki1.976980WSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Lebek1.40871171A. Burkacki2.6511118113LSep 3 · 01:35A. Burkacki2.257111013102W. Urban1.551171211123LSep 3 · 24:25M. Paszkiewicz1.5071111143A. Burkacki2.371166121
Upcoming Matches
M. Lebek
A. Burkacki
Sep 10 · 01:35A. Burkacki1.95O. Sokolowski1.75—Sep 10 · 02:45A. Burkacki1.83P. Slosarczyk1.86—Sep 10 · 03:35A. Burkacki1.73J. Kaczmarek1.91—Sep 10 · 05:30A. Burkacki2.46P. Adamus1.44—Sep 10 · 06:30A. Burkacki1.83P. Slosarczyk1.86—Sep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.07O. Sokolowski1.62—Sep 10 · 08:45A. Burkacki2.80M. Lebek1.35—
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