TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099393
Played Sep 9Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11812101311––––
Adrian Burkacki
Away
2.46
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
11812101311––––
H2H Pawel Adamus 6–4 Adrian Burkacki Adrian Burkacki has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Adamus
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1436 vs Burkacki 1321
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Burkacki 60%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 70% vs Burkacki 50%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +4 · Burkacki +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.44 / Burkacki 2.46
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Adamus)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13099393
Adamus1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 195 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it98% 91 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it78% 142 of 183
Burkacki2.46
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus6wins
AwayBurkacki4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus75%6 of 8
AwayBurkackin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus8Burkacki2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Adamus4Burkacki6n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S3Adamus4Burkacki6n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S4Adamus4Burkacki5n = 9Burkacki took 5 of 9
S5Adamus3Burkacki2n = 5Adamus took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusBurkackiA − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.843.5−0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 652 vs 124 / 34455.7%36.1%363 / 652 vs 124 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.335.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.44/Burkacki 2.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 04:25P. Adamus—116146112A. Burkacki—6111211133
LJul 9 · 08:45P. Adamus—12413992A. Burkacki—10111111113
WJun 11 · 05:35P. Adamus—1111109113A. Burkacki—96121172
WMay 21 · 08:20P. Adamus—116511113A. Burkacki—71111992
WMay 21 · 02:20P. Adamus—11138113A. Burkacki—8111171
LMay 7 · 03:10P. Adamus—71290A. Burkacki—1114113
WApr 16 · 06:00P. Adamus—11711113A. Burkacki—511971
WApr 15 · 22:00P. Adamus—17513113A. Burkacki—15111181
LApr 9 · 08:45P. Adamus—811831A. Burkacki—11511113
WApr 9 · 24:25P. Adamus—1311411113A. Burkacki—117111362
P. Adamus10
WSep 10 · 24:45M. Baron2.2351181592P. Adamus1.531171113113LSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472WSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680WSep 9 · 02:10G. Jurowicz1.915890P. Adamus1.801111113WSep 9 · 01:25J. Nowak2.201341011142P. Adamus1.611111129163WSep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80511661P. Adamus1.9111811113LSep 8 · 22:35G. Marud2.101112113P. Adamus1.6761060WSep 8 · 21:00L. Oracz1.839790P. Adamus1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:05G. Jurowicz2.25111011133P. Adamus1.578123111WSep 8 · 19:20J. Nowak2.20981191P. Adamus1.6111119113
A. Burkacki10
LSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek1.35111148113A. Burkacki2.8057111172WSep 9 · 21:35M. Baron1.66411391A. Burkacki2.0111511113WSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.151181110122A. Burkacki1.60811912143WSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100LSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek1.401111113A. Burkacki2.656690LSep 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.711111113A. Burkacki1.976980WSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Lebek1.40871171A. Burkacki2.6511118113LSep 3 · 01:35A. Burkacki2.257111013102W. Urban1.551171211123LSep 3 · 24:25M. Paszkiewicz1.5071111143A. Burkacki2.371166121
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
A. Burkacki
Sep 10 · 01:35A. Burkacki1.95O. Sokolowski1.75—Sep 10 · 02:45A. Burkacki1.83P. Slosarczyk1.86—Sep 10 · 03:35A. Burkacki1.73J. Kaczmarek1.91—Sep 10 · 05:30A. Burkacki2.46P. Adamus1.44—Sep 10 · 06:30A. Burkacki1.83P. Slosarczyk1.86—Sep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.07O. Sokolowski1.62—Sep 10 · 08:45A. Burkacki2.80M. Lebek1.35—
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