TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099395
Played Sep 9Finished
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811911––––
Pawel Adamus
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Jurowicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingGrzegorz Jurowicz above · Pawel Adamus below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Grzegorz Jurowicz at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Jurowicz 3–2 Pawel Adamus Pawel Adamus has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Jurowicz beat Adamus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:09What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jurowicz 1310 vs Adamus 1427
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jurowicz 60% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jurowicz 40% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jurowicz +2 · Adamus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJurowicz 1.91 / Adamus 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Adamus)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13099395
Jurowicz1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 92 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back17% 26 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 83
Adamus1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 192 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it98% 89 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it77% 140 of 181
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJurowicz3wins
AwayAdamus2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderJurowicz leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJurowiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jurowicz2Adamus3n = 5Adamus took 3 of 5
S2Jurowicz1Adamus4n = 5Adamus took 4 of 5
S3Jurowicz4Adamus1n = 5Jurowicz took 4 of 5
S4Jurowicz3Adamus2n = 5Jurowicz took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricJurowiczAdamusJ − ABasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match41.039.6+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJurowiczAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 800 vs 366 / 65739.5%55.7%316 / 800 vs 366 / 657Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.640.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusJurowicz 1.91/Adamus 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 8 · 20:05G. Jurowicz—111011133P. Adamus—8123111
WJul 14 · 05:55G. Jurowicz—1210712113P. Adamus—1012111062
LMar 27 · 12:55G. Jurowicz—10511101P. Adamus—12115123
WMar 27 · 06:55G. Jurowicz—111111113P. Adamus—138661
LJul 10 · 07:30G. Jurowicz—741161P. Adamus—11119113
G. Jurowicz10
WSep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.7351111952G. Jurowicz2.00117311113WSep 8 · 23:45L. Oracz1.50711581G. Jurowicz2.5011711113LSep 8 · 22:55G. Jurowicz1.801111119102J. Nowak1.91613811123LSep 8 · 21:45G. Jurowicz2.405660G. Marud1.501111113WSep 8 · 20:05G. Jurowicz2.25111011133P. Adamus1.578123111WSep 8 · 18:30M. Koczyba1.4413560G. Jurowicz2.631511113LSep 8 · 17:45G. Marud1.571111113G. Jurowicz2.259470LSep 8 · 16:55G. Jurowicz2.0011611772J. Nowak1.73811811113LSep 8 · 15:50G. Jurowicz2.507760L. Oracz1.501111113LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840
P. Adamus10
WSep 9 · 01:25J. Nowak2.201341011142P. Adamus1.611111129163WSep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80511661P. Adamus1.9111811113LSep 8 · 22:35G. Marud2.101112113P. Adamus1.6761060WSep 8 · 21:00L. Oracz1.839790P. Adamus1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:05G. Jurowicz2.25111011133P. Adamus1.578123111WSep 8 · 19:20J. Nowak2.20981191P. Adamus1.6111119113WSep 8 · 17:20M. Koczyba1.73811491P. Adamus2.0011911113LSep 8 · 16:35L. Oracz1.67112410113P. Adamus2.108221281LSep 8 · 15:00G. Marud1.8311117113P. Adamus1.83741161WSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630
Upcoming Matches
G. Jurowicz
Nothing scheduled
P. Adamus1 of 5 neutral
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