TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097442
Played Sep 8Finished
Grzegorz Marud
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114117––––
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Marud to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Marud above · Grzegorz Jurowicz below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Grzegorz Marud at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Marud 1–1 Grzegorz Jurowicz Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Marud
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Marud 1422 vs Jurowicz 1277
Marud
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marud 60% vs Jurowicz 40%
Marud
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marud 70% vs Jurowicz 30%
Marud
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marud +3 · Jurowicz -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Marud) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarud 1.57 / Jurowicz 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Marud)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13097442
Marud1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite55% won 138 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it87% 84 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it69% 110 of 160
Jurowicz2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 92 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back17% 26 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMarud1wins
AwayJurowicz1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMarudJurowiczM − JBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.036.5+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarudJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime640 / 1363 vs 312 / 79347%39.3%640 / 1363 vs 312 / 793Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarudMarud 1.57/Jurowicz 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Marud · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Marud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WDec 23 · 23:00G. Marud—111199113G. Jurowicz—36111142
LDec 23 · 21:45G. Marud—117381G. Jurowicz—51111113
G. Marud10
LSep 8 · 18:55G. Marud1.837520L. Oracz1.831111113WSep 8 · 16:15G. Marud2.2511511113M. Koczyba1.57411411WSep 8 · 15:00G. Marud1.8311117113P. Adamus1.83741161WSep 8 · 04:40G. Marud1.851111113P. Kurek1.856550LSep 8 · 03:05J. Nowak2.311211153G. Marud1.50108130LSep 8 · 01:50O. Jadach1.53811611113G. Marud2.2411711282WSep 8 · 01:10G. Marud2.001111123K. Adamus1.7278100WSep 8 · 24:10G. Marud1.5111115113M. Sikon2.28581171LSep 7 · 22:40G. Marud1.85116912162P. Kurek1.856111110183WSep 7 · 21:05J. Nowak2.3131180G. Marud1.501113113
G. Jurowicz10
WSep 8 · 18:30M. Koczyba1.4413560G. Jurowicz2.631511113LSep 8 · 16:55G. Jurowicz2.0011611772J. Nowak1.73811811113LSep 8 · 15:50G. Jurowicz2.507760L. Oracz1.501111113LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590WSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113LSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891LSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113
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