TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091790
Played Sep 8Finished
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711611––––
Lukasz Oracz
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:17 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Jurowicz above · Lukasz Oracz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Lukasz Oracz at 61.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Jurowicz 13–23 Lukasz Oracz Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 13 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:17What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-23 in 36
Oracz
Correct
gap of 10 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jurowicz 1295 vs Oracz 1513
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jurowicz 60% vs Oracz 100%
Oracz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jurowicz 40% vs Oracz 80%
Oracz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jurowicz -1 · Oracz +5
Oracz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJurowicz 2.50 / Oracz 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Oracz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13091790
Jurowicz2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 92 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back17% 26 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 83
Oracz1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 377 of 593
Up 2–0, closes it97% 203 of 210
Up 1–0, closes it83% 295 of 354
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJurowicz4wins
AwayOracz6wins
Oracz leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJurowicz80%4 of 5
AwayOracz100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jurowicz5Oracz5n = 10split evenly
S2Jurowicz4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S3Jurowicz3Oracz7n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S4Jurowicz2Oracz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJurowiczOraczJ − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.834.3−2.5per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJurowiczOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 801 vs 818 / 147539.6%55.5%317 / 801 vs 818 / 1475Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczJurowicz 2.50/Oracz 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 28 · 14:20G. Jurowicz—11860L. Oracz—1311113
LMay 28 · 06:20G. Jurowicz—95130L. Oracz—1111153
LMay 8 · 11:30G. Jurowicz—1011981L. Oracz—12911113
WMay 8 · 07:10G. Jurowicz—1114113L. Oracz—71280
WApr 14 · 15:55G. Jurowicz—1212113L. Oracz—101060
LApr 14 · 09:55G. Jurowicz—8480L. Oracz—1111113
WApr 10 · 15:55G. Jurowicz—11118113L. Oracz—751181
LApr 10 · 09:55G. Jurowicz—9780L. Oracz—1111113
LApr 9 · 13:30G. Jurowicz—117891L. Oracz—81111113
WApr 9 · 07:30G. Jurowicz—12311113L. Oracz—1011791
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 8 · 17:45G. Marud1.571111113G. Jurowicz2.259470LSep 8 · 16:55G. Jurowicz2.0011611772J. Nowak1.73811811113LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590WSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113LSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891LSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113LSep 3 · 18:25S. Szostok1.3512511113G. Jurowicz2.801011661
L. Oracz10
WSep 8 · 16:35L. Oracz1.67112410113P. Adamus2.108221281WSep 7 · 04:20M. Baron2.909580L. Oracz1.351111113WSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:45L. Oracz1.7561112113M. Sikon1.981171081WSep 7 · 01:10L. Oracz1.451111113P. Kurek2.453280WSep 7 · 24:20G. Marud2.0111711382L. Oracz1.73711711113WSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz1.411111113M. Sikon2.605660WSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670LSep 6 · 20:20L. Oracz1.70125131022G. Marud1.9910111112113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Oracz1.4712125882M. Baron2.4510101111113
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