TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097804
Played Sep 8Finished
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11810121131311––
Pawel Adamus
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Jurowicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Jurowicz above · Pawel Adamus below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 79 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Grzegorz Jurowicz at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Jurowicz 2–2 Pawel Adamus Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:49What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jurowicz 1286 vs Adamus 1434
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jurowicz 20% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jurowicz 40% vs Adamus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jurowicz +1 · Adamus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJurowicz 2.25 / Adamus 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Adamus)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13097804
Jurowicz2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 92 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back17% 26 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 83
Adamus1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 192 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it98% 89 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it77% 140 of 181
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJurowicz2wins
AwayAdamus2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJurowiczn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jurowicz1Adamus3n = 4Adamus took 3 of 4
S2Jurowicz1Adamus3n = 4Adamus took 3 of 4
S3Jurowicz3Adamus1n = 4Jurowicz took 3 of 4
S4Jurowicz2Adamus2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJurowiczAdamusJ − ABasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match40.041.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJurowiczAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 795 vs 363 / 65239.4%55.7%313 / 795 vs 363 / 652Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.640.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusJurowicz 2.25/Adamus 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 14 · 05:55G. Jurowicz—1210712113P. Adamus—1012111062
LMar 27 · 12:55G. Jurowicz—10511101P. Adamus—12115123
WMar 27 · 06:55G. Jurowicz—111111113P. Adamus—138661
LJul 10 · 07:30G. Jurowicz—741161P. Adamus—11119113
G. Jurowicz10
WSep 8 · 18:30M. Koczyba1.4413560G. Jurowicz2.631511113LSep 8 · 17:45G. Marud1.571111113G. Jurowicz2.259470LSep 8 · 16:55G. Jurowicz2.0011611772J. Nowak1.73811811113LSep 8 · 15:50G. Jurowicz2.507760L. Oracz1.501111113LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590WSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113LSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891
P. Adamus10
WSep 8 · 19:20J. Nowak2.20981191P. Adamus1.6111119113WSep 8 · 17:20M. Koczyba1.73811491P. Adamus2.0011911113LSep 8 · 16:35L. Oracz1.67112410113P. Adamus2.108221281LSep 8 · 15:00G. Marud1.8311117113P. Adamus1.83741161WSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971LSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113LSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153WSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113
Upcoming Matches
G. Jurowicz
P. Adamus4 of 10 neutral
Sep 8 · 21:00P. Adamus1.83L. Oracz1.83—Sep 8 · 22:35P. Adamus1.67G. Marud2.10—Sep 8 · 23:20P. Adamus1.91M. Koczyba1.80—Sep 9 · 01:25P. Adamus1.61J. Nowak2.20—Sep 9 · 02:10P. Adamus1.39G. Jurowicz2.60—Sep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus—M. Lebek——Sep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus—A. Burkacki——Sep 10 · 24:00P. Adamus—P. Slosarczyk——Sep 10 · 24:45P. Adamus—M. Baron——Sep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus—O. Sokolowski——
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