TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104125
Played Sep 9Finished
Mariusz Baron
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11811911131210––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:00 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
11811911131210––
H2H Mariusz Baron 1–1 Oliwier Sokolowski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Baron
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Baron 1319 vs Sokolowski 1425
Sokolowski
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baron 40% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baron 40% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Baron +1 · Sokolowski +3
Sokolowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaron 1.83 / Sokolowski 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sokolowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13104125
Baron1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 220 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it83% 103 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it70% 156 of 224
Sokolowski1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 110 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBaron1wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBaronSokolowskiB − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match48.543.0+5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaronSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime875 / 1813 vs 219 / 51348.3%42.7%875 / 1813 vs 219 / 513Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiBaron 1.83/Sokolowski 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 11 · 12:45M. Baron—119179113O. Sokolowski—311151122
LAug 11 · 10:20M. Baron—9711131O. Sokolowski—11117153
M. Baron10
LSep 10 · 24:45M. Baron2.2351181592P. Adamus1.531171113113WSep 9 · 22:25P. Slosarczyk2.07311101152M. Baron1.62118129113LSep 9 · 21:35M. Baron1.66411391A. Burkacki2.0111511113WSep 9 · 20:20W. Jozala2.604850M. Baron1.411111113LSep 9 · 19:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.0911119113M. Baron1.61871171LSep 9 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.55471114113M. Baron2.30111151262LSep 9 · 16:50S. Krupa1.6711814113M. Baron2.005111281WSep 9 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.5671141152M. Baron2.17118113113LSep 8 · 17:05M. Baron2.358980J. Pruszkowski1.521111113WSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113WSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45117691O. Sokolowski2.4371111113WSep 9 · 07:35O. Sokolowski1.831111113M. Paszkiewicz1.837960LSep 9 · 06:25M. Sikon2.171111113O. Sokolowski1.567980LSep 9 · 05:10M. Adamus1.8311611123O. Sokolowski1.866114101LSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 9 · 02:45M. Sikon2.00461181O. Sokolowski1.7011114113WSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661LSep 9 · 24:25M. Lebek1.4511211113O. Sokolowski2.44611661
Upcoming Matches
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