TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105181
Played Sep 10Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.45
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11410121161210––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
2.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched — 62.6% is still 62.6%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
62.6%
62.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
11410121161210––
H2H Pawel Adamus 6–3 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Slosarczyk beat Adamus 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Adamus
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1455 vs Slosarczyk 1281
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Slosarczyk 40%
Adamus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 80% vs Slosarczyk 50%
Adamus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +2 · Slosarczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.45 / Slosarczyk 2.44
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Adamus)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13105181
Adamus1.45
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 198 of 315
Up 2–0, closes it98% 92 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it78% 145 of 187
Slosarczyk2.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 105 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back15% 28 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeAdamus6wins
AwaySlosarczyk3wins
1 of 9 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus83.3%5 of 6
AwaySlosarczyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Slosarczyk3n = 9Adamus took 6 of 9
S2Adamus5Slosarczyk4n = 9Adamus took 5 of 9
S3Adamus8Slosarczyk1n = 9Adamus took 8 of 9
S4Adamus2Slosarczyk2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricAdamusSlosarczykA − SBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match35.430.4+5.0per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 651 vs 314 / 81955.6%38.3%362 / 651 vs 314 / 819Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.435.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.45/Slosarczyk 2.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 10 · 24:00P. Adamus—11611472P. Slosarczyk—711811113
WAug 24 · 23:50P. Adamus—111111113P. Slosarczyk—137761
WAug 24 · 17:55P. Adamus—1111113P. Slosarczyk—8380
WAug 13 · 13:30P. Adamus—1112113P. Slosarczyk—71070
WAug 13 · 07:30P. Adamus—1111113P. Slosarczyk—4790
LJul 15 · 10:35P. Adamus—1291171P. Slosarczyk—14119113
LJul 15 · 03:00P. Adamus—8690P. Slosarczyk—1111113
WApr 29 · 22:50P. Adamus—11811113P. Slosarczyk—711691
WAug 1 · 02:45P. Adamus—1111113P. Slosarczyk—5680
P. Adamus10
WSep 10 · 05:30P. Adamus1.4411612113A. Burkacki2.469111071WSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071WSep 10 · 24:45M. Baron2.2351181592P. Adamus1.531171113113LSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472WSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680WSep 9 · 02:10G. Jurowicz1.915890P. Adamus1.801111113WSep 9 · 01:25J. Nowak2.201341011142P. Adamus1.611111129163WSep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80511661P. Adamus1.9111811113LSep 8 · 22:35G. Marud2.101112113P. Adamus1.6761060
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk2.06119157113O. Sokolowski1.63811131172WSep 10 · 02:45P. Slosarczyk1.861111113A. Burkacki1.838690LSep 10 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk2.903680M. Lebek1.331111113WSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472LSep 9 · 22:25P. Slosarczyk2.07311101152M. Baron1.62118129113LSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113WSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 05:10K. Juszczyk1.309580P. Slosarczyk3.101111113
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