TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099390
Played Sep 10Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11410121210117––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
11410121210117––
H2H Pawel Adamus 9–9 Oliwier Sokolowski Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1438 vs Sokolowski 1432
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Sokolowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 70% vs Sokolowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Sokolowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.65 / Sokolowski 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Adamus)+1.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13099390
Adamus1.65
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 195 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it98% 91 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it78% 142 of 183
Sokolowski2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 110 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus7wins
AwaySokolowski3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus85.7%6 of 7
AwaySokolowski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus7Sokolowski3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S2Adamus4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S3Adamus9Sokolowski1n = 10Adamus took 9 of 10
S4Adamus4Sokolowski5n = 9Sokolowski took 5 of 9
S5Adamus2Sokolowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusSokolowskiA − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.634.3+8.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 653 vs 221 / 51655.6%42.8%363 / 653 vs 221 / 516Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.336.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.65/Sokolowski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 07:35P. Adamus—11119113O. Sokolowski—751141
WAug 24 · 02:45P. Adamus—141111113O. Sokolowski—169441
LAug 23 · 18:25P. Adamus—791141O. Sokolowski—11116113
LAug 11 · 15:30P. Adamus—11911982O. Sokolowski—811211113
WAug 11 · 09:30P. Adamus—111011113O. Sokolowski—712451
LAug 5 · 02:35P. Adamus—91111762O. Sokolowski—115811113
WAug 4 · 18:10P. Adamus—116119113O. Sokolowski—51171182
WJul 6 · 13:30P. Adamus—116119113O. Sokolowski—31171172
WJul 6 · 07:20P. Adamus—11911113O. Sokolowski—411581
WJul 1 · 13:05P. Adamus—1111113O. Sokolowski—3780
P. Adamus10
WSep 10 · 24:45M. Baron2.2351181592P. Adamus1.531171113113LSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472WSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680WSep 9 · 02:10G. Jurowicz1.915890P. Adamus1.801111113WSep 9 · 01:25J. Nowak2.201341011142P. Adamus1.611111129163WSep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80511661P. Adamus1.9111811113LSep 8 · 22:35G. Marud2.101112113P. Adamus1.6761060WSep 8 · 21:00L. Oracz1.839790P. Adamus1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:05G. Jurowicz2.25111011133P. Adamus1.578123111
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 10 · 01:35A. Burkacki1.95711971O. Sokolowski1.7511911113LSep 9 · 23:35M. Baron1.83111111123O. Sokolowski1.868913101WSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113WSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45117691O. Sokolowski2.4371111113WSep 9 · 07:35O. Sokolowski1.831111113M. Paszkiewicz1.837960LSep 9 · 06:25M. Sikon2.171111113O. Sokolowski1.567980LSep 9 · 05:10M. Adamus1.8311611123O. Sokolowski1.866114101LSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 9 · 02:45M. Sikon2.00461181O. Sokolowski1.7011114113
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