TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104707
Played Sep 10Finished
Adrian Burkacki
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119911711––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Burkacki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
711119911711––
H2H Adrian Burkacki 1–3 Oliwier Sokolowski Adrian Burkacki has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:44What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Sokolowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1303 vs Sokolowski 1424
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 60% vs Sokolowski 80%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 50% vs Sokolowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki -2 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 1.95 / Sokolowski 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sokolowski)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13104707
Burkacki1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Sokolowski1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 77 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it80% 56 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBurkacki1wins
AwaySokolowski3wins
Sokolowski leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurkackin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySokolowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burkacki1Sokolowski3n = 4Sokolowski took 3 of 4
S2Burkacki1Sokolowski3n = 4Sokolowski took 3 of 4
S3Burkacki1Sokolowski3n = 4Sokolowski took 3 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away375%
These 4 meetings
MetricBurkackiSokolowskiB − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match25.530.2−4.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 346 vs 220 / 51535.8%42.7%124 / 346 vs 220 / 515Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiBurkacki 1.95/Sokolowski 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 3 · 05:10A. Burkacki—6980O. Sokolowski—1111113
LSep 2 · 23:10A. Burkacki—91040O. Sokolowski—1112113
LAug 13 · 06:30A. Burkacki—8960O. Sokolowski—1111113
WAug 13 · 02:45A. Burkacki—1111113O. Sokolowski—8670
A. Burkacki10
LSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek1.35111148113A. Burkacki2.8057111172LSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 21:35M. Baron1.66411391A. Burkacki2.0111511113WSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.151181110122A. Burkacki1.60811912143WSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100LSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek1.401111113A. Burkacki2.656690LSep 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.711111113A. Burkacki1.976980WSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:45M. Lebek1.40871171A. Burkacki2.6511118113LSep 3 · 01:35A. Burkacki2.257111013102W. Urban1.551171211123
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071LSep 9 · 23:35M. Baron1.83111111123O. Sokolowski1.868913101WSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113WSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45117691O. Sokolowski2.4371111113WSep 9 · 07:35O. Sokolowski1.831111113M. Paszkiewicz1.837960LSep 9 · 06:25M. Sikon2.171111113O. Sokolowski1.567980LSep 9 · 05:10M. Adamus1.8311611123O. Sokolowski1.866114101LSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.711111113A. Burkacki1.976980
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