TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105490
Played Sep 10Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1196111210117––
Adrian Burkacki
Away
2.46
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:49 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1196111210117––
H2H Pawel Adamus 7–4 Adrian Burkacki Adrian Burkacki has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Adamus beat Burkacki 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:49What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Adamus
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1449 vs Burkacki 1251
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Burkacki 0%
Adamus
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 80% vs Burkacki 30%
Adamus
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +2 · Burkacki -5
Burkacki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (0%) is below what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.44 / Burkacki 2.46
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Adamus)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13105490
Adamus1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 198 of 315
Up 2–0, closes it98% 92 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it78% 145 of 187
Burkacki2.46
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 53 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus6wins
AwayBurkacki4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus75%6 of 8
AwayBurkackin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus8Burkacki2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Adamus4Burkacki6n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S3Adamus5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamus4Burkacki4n = 8split evenly
S5Adamus2Burkacki2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusBurkackiA − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.441.6−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 653 vs 124 / 34955.6%35.5%363 / 653 vs 124 / 349Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match40.335.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.44/Burkacki 2.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus—1112133A. Burkacki—810110
LAug 20 · 04:25P. Adamus—116146112A. Burkacki—6111211133
LJul 9 · 08:45P. Adamus—12413992A. Burkacki—10111111113
WJun 11 · 05:35P. Adamus—1111109113A. Burkacki—96121172
WMay 21 · 08:20P. Adamus—116511113A. Burkacki—71111992
WMay 21 · 02:20P. Adamus—11138113A. Burkacki—8111171
LMay 7 · 03:10P. Adamus—71290A. Burkacki—1114113
WApr 16 · 06:00P. Adamus—11711113A. Burkacki—511971
WApr 15 · 22:00P. Adamus—17513113A. Burkacki—15111181
LApr 9 · 08:45P. Adamus—811831A. Burkacki—11511113
P. Adamus10
WSep 10 · 04:00P. Adamus1.45111011123P. Slosarczyk2.444126101WSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071WSep 10 · 24:45M. Baron2.2351181592P. Adamus1.531171113113LSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472WSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680WSep 9 · 02:10G. Jurowicz1.915890P. Adamus1.801111113WSep 9 · 01:25J. Nowak2.201341011142P. Adamus1.611111129163WSep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80511661P. Adamus1.9111811113LSep 8 · 22:35G. Marud2.101112113P. Adamus1.6761060
A. Burkacki10
LSep 10 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek1.911111113A. Burkacki1.738850LSep 10 · 02:45P. Slosarczyk1.861111113A. Burkacki1.838690LSep 10 · 01:35A. Burkacki1.95711971O. Sokolowski1.7511911113LSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek1.35111148113A. Burkacki2.8057111172LSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 21:35M. Baron1.66411391A. Burkacki2.0111511113WSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.151181110122A. Burkacki1.60811912143WSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100LSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek1.401111113A. Burkacki2.656690LSep 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.711111113A. Burkacki1.976980
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.