TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103018
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118115––––
Adrian Burkacki
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:37 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeAdrian Burkacki to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
118118115––––
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 12–15 Adrian Burkacki Jakub Kaczmarek has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (52%)
Burkacki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-15 in 27
Burkacki
Wrong
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1284 vs Burkacki 1280
Kaczmarek
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 40% vs Burkacki 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 30% vs Burkacki 50%
Burkacki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek -1 · Burkacki -3
Burkacki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burkacki) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 1.91 / Burkacki 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Burkacki)+1.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13103018
Kaczmarek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 166 of 501
Down 0–1, comes back18% 58 of 320
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 178
Burkacki1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 14 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek5wins
AwayBurkacki5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarek66.7%4 of 6
AwayBurkacki75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek6Burkacki4n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S2Kaczmarek6Burkacki4n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Kaczmarek4Burkacki6n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S4Kaczmarek4Burkacki4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekBurkackiK − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.538.9−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime473 / 1296 vs 124 / 34836.5%35.6%473 / 1296 vs 124 / 348Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurkackiKaczmarek 1.91/Burkacki 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Burkacki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek—1111113A. Burkacki—8850
LSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek—1181110122A. Burkacki—811912143
WAug 28 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—11112113A. Burkacki—891191
LAug 13 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek—1013971A. Burkacki—121111113
LAug 6 · 05:10J. Kaczmarek—911841A. Burkacki—11711113
LJul 30 · 03:30J. Kaczmarek—6940A. Burkacki—1111113
WJul 23 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek—13712113A. Burkacki—11111071
WJul 16 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek—11139123A. Burkacki—91111101
WJul 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek—41112113A. Burkacki—1181051
LJul 8 · 21:35J. Kaczmarek—146541A. Burkacki—121111113
J. Kaczmarek10
LSep 9 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.831111981M. Sikon1.8391311113WSep 9 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek2.10511711113M. Adamus1.6711811692LSep 9 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek2.103670M. Paszkiewicz1.601111113LSep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.321111113J. Kaczmarek2.906590WSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.45111211113M. Cesarz2.45714971LSep 8 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.70159441R. Skotniczny1.37131111113LSep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.86511761A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011711113LSep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.20116821K. Hetnar1.2791111113LSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113
A. Burkacki10
LSep 10 · 02:45P. Slosarczyk1.861111113A. Burkacki1.838690LSep 10 · 01:35A. Burkacki1.95711971O. Sokolowski1.7511911113LSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek1.35111148113A. Burkacki2.8057111172LSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 21:35M. Baron1.66411391A. Burkacki2.0111511113WSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek2.151181110122A. Burkacki1.60811912143WSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100LSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek1.401111113A. Burkacki2.656690LSep 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski1.711111113A. Burkacki1.976980WSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113
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