TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100377
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611711––––
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:00 and never touched — 73.0% is still 73.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
73.0%
73.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
311611711––––
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 9–36 Michal Paszkiewicz Jakub Kaczmarek has won 9 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Paszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-36 in 45
Paszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 27 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1275 vs Paszkiewicz 1341
Paszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 40% vs Paszkiewicz 0%
Kaczmarek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 20% vs Paszkiewicz 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek -1 · Paszkiewicz -5
Paszkiewicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Paszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (0%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 2.10 / Paszkiewicz 1.60
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Paszkiewicz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13100377
Kaczmarek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 166 of 501
Down 0–1, comes back18% 58 of 320
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 178
Paszkiewicz1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 81 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it87% 60 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek2wins
AwayPaszkiewicz8wins
8 of 10 to a deciderPaszkiewicz leads 8–2, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarek25%1 of 4
AwayPaszkiewicz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek4Paszkiewicz6n = 10Paszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S2Kaczmarek4Paszkiewicz6n = 10Paszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S3Kaczmarek6Paszkiewicz4n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S4Kaczmarek3Paszkiewicz6n = 9Paszkiewicz took 6 of 9
S5Kaczmarek2Paszkiewicz6n = 8Paszkiewicz took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekPaszkiewiczK − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.946.1−4.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 1295 vs 429 / 80636.5%53.2%472 / 1295 vs 429 / 806Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaszkiewiczKaczmarek 2.10/Paszkiewicz 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Paszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek—91111972M. Paszkiewicz—114411113
LJul 28 · 06:25J. Kaczmarek—511712102M. Paszkiewicz—1181110123
LJul 17 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek—121114642M. Paszkiewicz—1481211113
LJul 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek—118115102M. Paszkiewicz—811811123
WJul 1 · 08:20J. Kaczmarek—119127113M. Paszkiewicz—511101172
LMay 5 · 05:10J. Kaczmarek—111271182M. Paszkiewicz—614117113
LMay 1 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—87111132M. Paszkiewicz—111159113
WApr 29 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek—811126113M. Paszkiewicz—116101172
LApr 24 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek—137541M. Paszkiewicz—111111113
LApr 17 · 08:20J. Kaczmarek—8650M. Paszkiewicz—1111113
J. Kaczmarek10
LSep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.321111113J. Kaczmarek2.906590WSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.45111211113M. Cesarz2.45714971LSep 8 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.70159441R. Skotniczny1.37131111113LSep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.86511761A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011711113LSep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.20116821K. Hetnar1.2791111113LSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113LSep 7 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.2011181241P. Przewlocki1.6182014113LSep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00116681M. Adamus1.7371111113LSep 7 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek4.008550K. Hetnar1.221111113
M. Paszkiewicz10
LSep 9 · 04:50M. Sikon2.00111110113M. Paszkiewicz1.71591261LSep 9 · 03:10M. Lebek1.4611129113M. Paszkiewicz2.506101161LSep 9 · 02:20M. Adamus1.851111113M. Paszkiewicz1.854940LSep 9 · 01:35O. Sokolowski1.8351111113M. Paszkiewicz1.83117661LSep 8 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.3711511113M. Paszkiewicz2.70911931WSep 8 · 22:50M. Lebek1.50141171262M. Paszkiewicz2.4012131110113LSep 8 · 21:10M. Sikon1.90111112133M. Paszkiewicz1.8051310111WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180
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